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Causality between government revenue and expenditure in Malaysia: A seasonal cointegration test

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  • Goh, Soo Khoon
  • Dawood, Mithani

Abstract

The objective of this article is to empirically incorporate the effect of seasonality in examining the causal relationship between quarterly government revenue and governemnt expenditure in Malaysia for the period 1970.1- 1994.4. The seasonal integration and cointegration tests developed by Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990) and extended by Engle, Granger, Hylleberg and lee (1993) are applied prior to determination of causality. Evidence of seasonal cointegration of biaanual frequency is found.

Suggested Citation

  • Goh, Soo Khoon & Dawood, Mithani, 1999. "Causality between government revenue and expenditure in Malaysia: A seasonal cointegration test," MPRA Paper 49383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:49383
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec..
    2. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    3. Huang, Chi & Tang, D. P., 1992. "Government revenue, expenditure, and national income: A granger causal analysis of the case of Taiwan," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 135-148.
    4. Ermini, Luigi & Chang, Dongkoo, 1996. "Testing the joint hypothesis of rationality and neutrality under seasonal cointegration: The case of Korea," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 363-386, October.
    5. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211.
    6. Antonio Manzini & Milad Zarin-Nejadan, 1995. "The Causal Relationship Between Government Expenditure and Revenue: The Case of Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 131(IV), pages 637-647, December.
    7. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Hallman, J. J., 1989. "Merging short-and long-run forecasts : An application of seasonal cointegration to monthly electricity sales forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 45-62, January.
    8. Jones, Jonathan D. & Joulfaian, David, 1991. "Federal govemment expenditures and revenues in the early years of the American republic: Evidence from 1792 to 1860," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 133-155.
    9. von Furstenberg, George M & Green, R Jeffrey & Jeong, Jin-Ho, 1986. "Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 68(2), pages 179-188, May.
    10. Engle, Robert F. & Yoo, Byung Sam, 1987. "Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 143-159, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ullah, Nazim, 2016. "The relationship of government revenue and government expenditure: a case study of Malaysia," MPRA Paper 69123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Bassam AbuAl-Foul & Hamid Baghestani, 2004. "The causal relation between government revenue and spending: Evidence from Egypt and Jordan," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 28(2), pages 260-269, June.
    3. Haji Alias, Mohammad & Tang, Tuck & Othman, Jamal, 2001. "Aggregate Import Demand and Expenditure Components in five ASEAN Countries: An Empirical Study," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 35, pages 37-60.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    causality; government expenditure and revenue; Malaysia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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