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Stock Market Linkages in Emerging Asia-Pacific Markets

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  • P., Srinivasan
  • M., Kalaivani

Abstract

This study examines the stock market integration among major stock markets of emerging Asia-Pacific economies, viz. India, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, China and Indonesia. Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration test, Granger causality/Block exogeneity Wald test based on VECM approach and Variance Decomposition Analysis was employed to investigate the dynamic linkages between markets. Cointegration test confirmed a well defined long-run equilibrium relationship among the major stock markets, implying that there exists a common force, such as arbitrage activity, which brings these stock markets together in the long run. The results of Granger causality/Block exogeneity Wald test based on VECM and Variance Decomposition Analysis revealed the stock market interdependencies and dynamic interactions among the selected emerging Asia-Pacific economies. This result implies that investors can gain feasible benefits from international portfolio diversification in the short-run. On the whole, the study results suggest that although long-term diversification benefits from exposure to these markets might be limited, short-run benefits might exist due to substantial transitory fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • P., Srinivasan & M., Kalaivani, 2013. "Stock Market Linkages in Emerging Asia-Pacific Markets," MPRA Paper 45871, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:45871
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Md. Noman Siddikee & Mohammad Mafizur Rahman, 2017. "Effect of catastrophic disaster in financial market contagion," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1288772-128, January.
    4. Anh T. Nguyen & Thuy T. Nguyen & Giang T. Hoang, 2016. "Trade facilitation in ASEAN countries: harmonisation of logistics policies," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 30(1), pages 120-134, May.
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    6. Adomako, Samuel & Abdelgawad, Sondos G. & Ahsan, Mujtaba & Amankwah-Amoah, Joseph & Azaaviele Liedong, Tahiru, 2023. "Nonmarket strategy in emerging markets: The link between SMEs’ corporate political activity, corporate social responsibility, and firm competitiveness," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    7. Majeed, Ayesha & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "A study of long- run theoretical relationship between ASEAN stock market indices and developed stock market indices of US and Japan," MPRA Paper 79724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Volatility spillovers among Northeast Asia and the US: Evidence from the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 179-193.
    9. Muhammad Hanif & Ariba Sabah, 2020. "Stock Markets’ Integration in Post Financial Crisis Era: Evidence from Literature," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 43-71.
    10. Zainudin, Ahmad Danial & Mohamad, Azhar, 2021. "Cross hedging with stock index futures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 128-144.
    11. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Semra Karacaer, 2017. "Analysis of the Effects of the US Stock Market Returns and Exchange Rate Changes on Emerging Market Economies’ Stock Market Volatilities," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(5), pages 1-5.
    12. Sanjay Sehgal & Payal Jain, 2017. "Information linkages among emerging equity markets—an empirical study," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 44(1), pages 15-38, March.
    13. Yoon Heo & Roman Vernidub, 2015. "Trade facilitation and the regulatory environment in Russia," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 53-72, March.
    14. J. Vineesh Prakash & D. K. Nauriyal, 2021. "Integration and Interdependence Among Equity Markets in South Asia: Measuring Through ARDL Bounds Approach," Millennial Asia, , vol. 12(2), pages 229-251, August.
    15. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Kefei You, 2019. "Stock market linkages between the ASEAN countries, China and the US: a fractional cointegration approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 7537, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Market Integration; Cointegration; Vector Error Correction Model; Variance Decomposition Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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