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Pass-Through of SBP Policy Rate to Market Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation

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  • Hanif, M. Nadim
  • Khan, Mahmood ul Hassan

Abstract

Market based implementation of monetary policy embeds a swift and complete pass-through of changes in policy rate to market interest rates. This impacts the lending and deposit rates (retail rates) of the banking system. Incomplete and slow pass-through impairs the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanism. This study estimates the degree and the speed of interest rate pass-through in case of Pakistan. Monthly data on State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) policy rate, money market rates and banks’ retail lending/deposit rates from July 2001 to August 2011 is used to estimate an unrestricted autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The standard ARDL model allows for the estimation of an error correction model, which helps in differentiating short run impact of changes in policy rate from its long run impact on the banks’ lending rates. The results indicate that while there is a swift pass-through from the policy rate (T-bill rates and overnight rate) to money market rate, the impact of changes in money market rates on the bank deposit rates is not only sluggish, but also incomplete. However, banks’ lending rates on fresh loans are more responsive to changes in money market rates as the banks have the luxury to take into account the changes in opportunity cost of funding.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanif, M. Nadim & Khan, Mahmood ul Hassan, 2012. "Pass-Through of SBP Policy Rate to Market Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 39587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:39587
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Oleksandra Chmel & Valentyna Sinichenko & Daryna Pustovoit & Anton Shmihel, 2019. "Meta-Analysis: Effect of central bank’s key policy rate on banks’ lending interest rates," Modern Economic Studies, Kyiv School of Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 2-11.
    2. Muhammad, Omer & de Haan, Jakob & Scholtens, Bert, 2014. "Impact of Interbank Liquidity on Monetary Transmission Mechanism: A Case Study of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 56161, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Олександра Чмель & Валентина Сініченко & Дарина Пустовойт & Антон Шмігель, 2019. "Мета-Аналіз: Вплив Ключової Ставки Центрального Банку На Ставки Банківського Кредитування," Suchasni ekonomichni doslidzhennja, Kyiv School of Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 2-11.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Policy Interest Rate; Market Interest Rate; Monetary Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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