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Budget-current account deficits nexus in Malaysia

Author

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  • Puah, Chin-Hong
  • Lau, Evan
  • Tan, Kim Lee

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to contribute further on the twin deficits debate in a developing economy. The data for Malaysia over four decades is used as a case study. Empirical result obtained from the Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration test indicates that budget deficit and current account deficit do not contain common stochastic trend in the long run. However, the findings from the Granger non-causality test by Toda-Yamamoto (1995) support the Summer’s (1988) reverse causation proposition. This implies that a unidirectional causality running from current account to budgetary variable where the deterioration in current account deficit could worsen the budgetary position in the case of Malaysia.

Suggested Citation

  • Puah, Chin-Hong & Lau, Evan & Tan, Kim Lee, 2006. "Budget-current account deficits nexus in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 37677, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37677
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tjon Kie Sim-Balker, Peggy & Mungroo, Albert & Piqué-Lont, Natalie & Ooft, Gavin, 2014. "Twin Deficits in Suriname: An Empirical Analysis," EconStor Preprints 215532, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Brito Romero, Marycris & Peguero, Anadel G. & Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis, 2020. "¿Hay evidencias de déficits gemelos en la economía dominicana? [Is there evidence of twin deficits in the Dominican economy?]," MPRA Paper 100938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mehmet BÖLÜKBAŞ & Mehmet Hanefi TOPAL & Hakan HOTUNLUOĞLU, 2018. "Testing Twin Deficits Hypothesis for Eu-27 and Turkey : A Panel Granger Causality Approach under Cross-sectional Dependence," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 101-119, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Twin deficits; Fiscal policy; Toda-Yamamoto test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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