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The Dynamics between Real Exchange Rate Movements and Trends in Trade Performance: The Case of Ethiopia

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  • Melesse, Wondemhunegn Ezezew

Abstract

Ethiopia’s exchange rate policies have been a bone of contention for concerned economic analysts and commentators alike. This study takes a new look at the record to explore the impact of exchange rate liberalization reforms on export growth in Ethiopia. I employ generalized method of moments estimators (GMM) techniques on time series data for the period 1981-2009. The study does not support the widely held view that exchange rate reforms induce export growth. But world income was found to positively impact Ethiopia’s export receipts over time.

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  • Melesse, Wondemhunegn Ezezew, 2011. "The Dynamics between Real Exchange Rate Movements and Trends in Trade Performance: The Case of Ethiopia," MPRA Paper 29316, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29316
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krugman, Paul & Taylor, Lance, 1978. "Contractionary effects of devaluation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 445-456, August.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real Exchange Rate; Devaluation; Export Performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General

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