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Latvijas būvniecības nozares attīstības prognoze
[Latvian construction brunch development forecast]

Author

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  • Skribans, Valerijs

Abstract

In work development of the construction branch in Latvia is forecasted. The forecast is developed used system dynamic method (by J. Forrester) and Latvian construction brunch forecasting model (RTU). Construction demand consists of the state construction orders, construction demand of inhabitants and enterprises. Definitely, that in Latvia in the given conditions a dominant role in the common construction demand have demand of the enterprises. But, with growth of well-being of the population, the dominant role may pass to construction demand of inhabitants, and/ or to the state construction orders in other circumstances. In Latvian construction industry are problems in construction material production, with profession workers and management, with producing means and low enterprises spirit in Latvians firm.

Suggested Citation

  • Skribans, Valerijs, 2003. "Latvijas būvniecības nozares attīstības prognoze [Latvian construction brunch development forecast]," MPRA Paper 26072, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:26072
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/26072/1/MPRA_paper_26072.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Skribans, Valerijs, 2002. "Construction industry forecasting model," MPRA Paper 16365, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Skribans, Valerijs, 2003. "Construction demand: a model of research and forecast for Latvia from 2002 to 2025," MPRA Paper 16366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    nozares prognozēšana; būvniecības ekonomika; dinamiskā simulācija; modelēšana;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services
    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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