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Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
[Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]

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  • Harin, Alexander

Abstract

The theorem of existence of the ruptures in the probability scale has been proved for a discrete case. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Harin, Alexander, 2010. "Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай [Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]," MPRA Paper 23902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:23902
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/23902/1/MPRA_paper_23902.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel Kahneman & Richard H. Thaler, 2006. "Anomalies: Utility Maximization and Experienced Utility," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 20(1), pages 221-234, Winter.
    2. Alexander Harin, 2005. "A new approach to solve old problems," Game Theory and Information 0505005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    probability; economics; forecasting; modeling; modelling; utility; decisions; uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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