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Convergence Debate, Middle-Income Trap, and East Asian Miracle

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  • zhao, guo

Abstract

Three key economic issues are the convergence debate, the middle-income trap, and the East Asian Miracle. Here we show that the standard Solow-Swan growth model in discrete time can simultaneously account for these key economic issues if in addition the no arbitrage constraint is imposed on the growth of total wealth. Under perfect arbitrage, club convergence is a pervasive feature of dynamic economies with realistic structural characteristics, but conditional converge may emerge as a limiting case. Following the standard Solow-Swan growth, a middle-income economy may make a miracle growth at the cost of structural unemployment if the rate of saving and investment exceed certain threshold level. These findings deepen our understanding of the impacts of capital accumulation on the dynamic evolution of economic system.

Suggested Citation

  • zhao, guo, 2024. "Convergence Debate, Middle-Income Trap, and East Asian Miracle," MPRA Paper 121378, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:121378
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Alwyn Young, 1995. "The Tyranny of Numbers: Confronting the Statistical Realities of the East Asian Growth Experience," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(3), pages 641-680.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Convergence Debate; Middle-Income Trap; East Asian Miracle;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment

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