IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/120001.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Impacts of road transport infrastructure investments on the Latin American Integration Route

Author

Listed:
  • Centuriao, Daniel
  • Boldrine Abrita, Mateus
  • Rondina Neto, Angelo
  • Camilo, Ana Paula
  • Stradiotto Vignandi, Rafaella
  • Espíndola Junior, Guilherme
  • Weber, Vanessa
  • Marques, Nelagley
  • Franco Maciel, Ruberval

Abstract

Using structural impact analysis, this research investigates the economic implications of road transport infrastructure investments on the Latin American Integration Route (LAIR) in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul (MS), Brazil. We aim to determine whether these investments can drive short-term local economic growth, identify sectors that benefit the most from the investments, and analyze the distribution of effects among MS municipalities. Based on three comparative scenario simulations, the findings indicate that infrastructure investments are likely to yield positive short-term impacts on MS's GDP. The intensity of these impacts varies across industries and municipalities, with Campo Grande (state capital) being a key beneficiary. Compared to other types of investments, those in transport infrastructure have a lower dispersion capacity in space. The main contribution lies in utilizing the S-curve to model the financial progress of each investment project, as this information is frequently unavailable. Additionally, adopting the spatial Location Quotient (LQ) estimates the spatial distribution of investments impacts. Lastly, the guided simulation of investments is a methodology to enhance the efficacy of formulating and executing public investment policies, considering the spatial consequences of these investments.

Suggested Citation

  • Centuriao, Daniel & Boldrine Abrita, Mateus & Rondina Neto, Angelo & Camilo, Ana Paula & Stradiotto Vignandi, Rafaella & Espíndola Junior, Guilherme & Weber, Vanessa & Marques, Nelagley & Franco Macie, 2024. "Impacts of road transport infrastructure investments on the Latin American Integration Route," MPRA Paper 120001, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jan 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:120001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/120001/1/MPRA_paper_120001.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Haughwout, Andrew F., 2002. "Public infrastructure investments, productivity and welfare in fixed geographic areas," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 405-428, March.
    2. Riccardo Crescenzi & Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, 2012. "Infrastructure and regional growth in the European Union," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 91(3), pages 487-513, August.
    3. Rokicki, Bartlomiej & Stępniak, Marcin, 2018. "Major transport infrastructure investment and regional economic development – An accessibility-based approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 36-49.
    4. Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli & Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Edson Paulo Domingues, 2009. "Interdependence among the Brazilian States: An Input-Output Approach," Chapters, in: Mahtab A. Farschi & Odile E.M. Janne & Philip McCann (ed.), Technological Change and Mature Industrial Regions, chapter 4, pages 44-63, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Elburz, Zeynep & Nijkamp, Peter & Pels, Eric, 2017. "Public infrastructure and regional growth: Lessons from meta-analysis," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-8.
    6. Demetriades, Panicos O & Mamuneas, Theofanis P, 2000. "Intertemporal Output and Employment Effects of Public Infrastructure Capital: Evidence from 12 OECD Economics," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(465), pages 687-712, July.
    7. Kenneth Button, 1998. "original: Infrastructure investment, endogenous growth and economic convergence," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 32(1), pages 145-162.
    8. Somik Lall, 2007. "Infrastructure and regional growth, growth dynamics and policy relevance for India," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 41(3), pages 581-599, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Freiria, Susana & Sousa, Nuno & Calvo-Poyo, Francisco, 2022. "Spatial analysis of the impact of transport accessibility on regional performance: A study for Europe," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    2. Francesco De Fabiis & Alessandro Carmelo Mancuso & Fulvio Silvestri & Pierluigi Coppola, 2023. "Spatial Economic Impacts of the TEN-T Network Extension in the Adriatic and Ionian Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.
    3. Elburz, Zeynep & Nijkamp, Peter & Pels, Eric, 2017. "Public infrastructure and regional growth: Lessons from meta-analysis," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-8.
    4. Ward Romp & Jakob De Haan, 2007. "Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Critical Survey," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 8(S1), pages 6-52, April.
    5. Piotr Rosik & Julia Wójcik, 2022. "Transport Infrastructure and Regional Development: A Survey of Literature on Wider Economic and Spatial Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Goldmann, Kathrin & Wessel, Jan, 2020. "TEN-T corridors – Stairway to heaven or highway to hell?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 240-258.
    7. Khanna, Rupika & Sharma, Chandan, 2021. "Does infrastructure stimulate total factor productivity? A dynamic heterogeneous panel analysis for Indian manufacturing industries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 59-73.
    8. Tomasz Komornicki & Sławomir Goliszek, 2023. "New Transport Infrastructure and Regional Development of Central and Eastern Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-24, March.
    9. Bartlomiej Rokicki & Eduardo A. Haddad & Jonathan M. Horridge & Marcin Stępniak, 2021. "Accessibility in the regional CGE framework: the effects of major transport infrastructure investments in Poland," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 747-772, April.
    10. Xiongbin Lin & Ian MacLachlan & Ting Ren & Feiyang Sun, 2019. "Quantifying economic effects of transportation investment considering spatiotemporal heterogeneity in China: a spatial panel data model perspective," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 63(3), pages 437-459, December.
    11. Paliska, Dejan & Drobne, Samo, 2020. "Impact of new motorway on housing prices in rural North-East Slovenia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    12. Fedderke, J.W. & Bogetic, Z., 2009. "Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1522-1539, September.
    13. Lin, Boqiang & Chen, Yu, 2019. "Will economic infrastructure development affect the energy intensity of China's manufacturing industry?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 122-131.
    14. Giuseppe Francesco Gori & Patrizia Lattarulo & Marco Mariani, 2021. "The Expediting Effect of Monitoring on Infrastructural Works. A Regression-Discontinuity Approach with Multiple Assignment Variables," Papers 2102.09625, arXiv.org.
    15. Fengjun Tian & Yang Yang & Lan Jiang, 2022. "Spatial spillover of transport improvement on tourism growth," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1416-1432, August.
    16. Straub, Stephane, 2008. "Infrastructure and growth in developing countries : recent advances and research challenges," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4460, The World Bank.
    17. Wang, Chao & Lim, Ming K. & Zhang, Xinyi & Zhao, Longfeng & Lee, Paul Tae-Woo, 2020. "Railway and road infrastructure in the Belt and Road Initiative countries: Estimating the impact of transport infrastructure on economic growth," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 288-307.
    18. Melvin Ayogu, 0. "Infrastructure and Economic Development in Africa: A Review-super- †," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 16(suppl_1), pages -126.
    19. Vetlov, Igor & Ferdinandusse, Marien & de Jong, Jasper & Funda, Josip, 2017. "The effect of public investment in Europe: a model-based assessment," Working Paper Series 2021, European Central Bank.
    20. Freiria, Susana & Sousa, Nuno, 2024. "The impact of accessibility changes on local development: A spatial approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Input-output; Structural Analysis; Public Investment; Transportation; Regional Fiscal Policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:120001. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.