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Epidemics and Local Demographic Dynamics

Author

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  • Schinaia, Giuseppe

Abstract

The investigation of the interactions between the demographic dynamics of a healthy population and the perturbations induced in it by the progession of an epidemics is the object of this study. A SIR epidemic model is progressively enriched with demographic features, such as birth-death imbalance, disease-induced deaths, vertical transmission and infectious immigration and its equilibria are investigated. A statistical setting is then established in order to test the relevance of the demographic features of the various modelling hypotheses.

Suggested Citation

  • Schinaia, Giuseppe, 2018. "Epidemics and Local Demographic Dynamics," MPRA Paper 113062, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:113062
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/113062/1/MPRA_paper_113062.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Govert E. Bijwaard, 2008. "Modeling Migration Dynamics of Immigrants," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-070/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    demographic dynamics; SIR epidemic model; basic reproduction number; immigration; vertical transmission; disease-free equilibrium; estimation; hypothesis testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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