IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/106826.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Impact of FDI on GDP per capita in India using Granger causality

Author

Listed:
  • Nadar, Anand

Abstract

This research investigates the causality between FDI and GDP per capital in the context of India. Using WDI data from 1970-2019, We applied two types of Granger causality tests: long-run causality and shortrun causality tests. For the long-run causality, we applied pairwise Granger causality test, and for shortrun, we performed the Wald test approach under VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The long-run causality test indicates that there is a unidirectional causality running from FDI to GDP per capita, implying that FDI causes the GDP per capita to change and not vice-versa. The short-run causality test indicates that there is no causality between FDI and GDP per capita, suggesting that, in the short-run, FDI and GDP per capita does not cause each other. The central policy conclusion from this study is that although FDI does not cause GDP per capita in the short-run, it causes in the long-run. Therefore, according to our study, India should attract FDI to sustain a long-run growth of GDP per capita.

Suggested Citation

  • Nadar, Anand, 2021. "Impact of FDI on GDP per capita in India using Granger causality," MPRA Paper 106826, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:106826
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/106826/1/MPRA_paper_106826.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kevin Honglin Zhang, 2001. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth in China?," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 9(3), pages 679-693, November.
    2. Borensztein, E. & De Gregorio, J. & Lee, J-W., 1998. "How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?1," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 115-135, June.
    3. Luiz de Mello, 1997. "Foreign direct investment in developing countries and growth: A selective survey," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 1-34.
    4. Belloumi, Mounir, 2014. "The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 269-287.
    5. Asiedu, Elizabeth, 2002. "On the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to Developing Countries: Is Africa Different?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 107-119, January.
    6. Luiz R. de Mello Jr., 1997. "Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: A Selective Survey," Studies in Economics 9701, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    7. Yoon Jung Choi & Jungho Baek, 2017. "Does FDI Really Matter to Economic Growth in India?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-9, June.
    8. Chakraborty, Chandana & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2008. "Economic Reforms, FDI, and Economic Growth in India: A Sector Level Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 1192-1212, July.
    9. T. Mohanasundaram & P. Karthikeyan, 2015. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth: empirical evidence from India," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 344-355.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gibogwe, Vincent & Nigo, Ayine R.S. & Kufuor, Karen, 2022. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 115028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Oct 2022.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Muhammad Waqas Chughtai, 2014. "Effectiveness of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Policy Perspective Approach," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 4(4), pages 159-175, August.
    2. Melisa Chanegriha & Chris Stewart & Christopher Tsoukis, 2020. "Testing for causality between FDI and economic growth using heterogeneous panel data," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 546-565, July.
    3. Mounir Belloumi & Atef Alshehry, 2018. "The Impacts of Domestic and Foreign Direct Investments on Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-17, March.
    4. Shima’a Hanafy & Marcus Marktanner, 2019. "Sectoral FDI, absorptive capacity and economic growth – empirical evidence from Egyptian governorates," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 57-81, January.
    5. Anis Omri & Amel Sassi-Tmar, 2015. "Linking FDI Inflows to Economic Growth in North African Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 6(1), pages 90-104, March.
    6. Shima'a Hanafy & Marcus Marktanner, 2015. "Sectoral FDI, Absorptive Capacity and Economic Growth — Empirical Evidence from Egyptian Governorates," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201537, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    7. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-558 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Iamsiraroj, Sasi, 2016. "The foreign direct investment–economic growth nexus," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 116-133.
    9. Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Ye,Lei Sandy & Islamaj,Ergys, 2017. "Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7990, The World Bank.
    10. Vinish Kathuria, 2019. "Growth and Investment: Testing for the Relationship for South Asian Countries," Millennial Asia, , vol. 10(3), pages 337-371, December.
    11. Angelo Antoci & Paolo Russu & Elisa Ticci, 2011. "Investement inflows and sustainable development in a natural resource-dependent economy," Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena 0311, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena.
    12. Jun, Sangjoon, 2015. "The Nexus between FDI and Growth in the SAARC Member Countries," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 19(1), pages 39-70, March.
    13. Edouard Mien, 2023. "Statistical Overview and Empirical Literature on Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries WP326," Working Papers hal-04123985, HAL.
    14. Munira Begum & Mohammad Salahuddin & Mamta Chowdhury & Abu N. M. Wahid, 2018. "Foreign Direct Investment-growth Nexus Revisited: New Evidence from Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 168-174.
    15. Angelo Antoci & Paolo Russu & Elisa Ticci, 2014. "Rural Poor Economies and Foreign Investors: An Opportunity or a Risk?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(12), pages 1-24, December.
    16. Ghaith Alzaidy & Mohd Naseem Bin Niaz Ahmad & Zakaria Lacheheb, 2017. "The Impact of Foreign-direct Investment on Economic Growth in Malaysia: The Role of Financial Development," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 382-388.
    17. Amal BEN ABDALLAH, 2024. "The Relationship Between Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment Inflows, and Economic Growth in Middle East and North of Africa Region: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model vs. Vector Error Correct," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 1118-1141, March.
    18. Yilmaz BAYAR & Mahmut Unsal SASMAZ, 2019. "Foreign borrowing, foreign direct investment inflows and economic growth in European Union transition economies," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 107-125, December.
    19. E. M. Ekanayake & John R. Ledgerwood, 2010. "How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Growth In Developing Countries? An Empirical Investigation," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(3), pages 43-53.
    20. Faik Bilgili & Nadide S. Tülüce & Ibrahim Doğan & H. Hilal Bağlıtas, 2016. "The causality between FDI and sector-specific production in Turkey: evidence from threshold cointegration with regime shifts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(5), pages 345-360, January.
    21. Jeffrey A. EDWARDS & Cephas B. NAANWAAB & Alfredo A. ROMERO, 2017. "Effect of FDI on real per capita GDP Growth: A Rolling Window Panel Analysis of 60 countries, 1982-2011," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 19-36.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    GDP per capita; Granger causality; FDI; India; VECM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:106826. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.