Central banks' voting contest
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Giovanni Olivei & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007.
"The Timing of Monetary Policy Shocks,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 636-663, June.
- Giovanni P. Olivei & Silvana Tenreyro, 2004. "The timing of monetary policy shocks," Working Papers 04-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Olivei, Giovanni & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2006. "The timing of monetary policy shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 3742, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Giovanni Olivei & Silvana Tenreyro, 2006. "The Timing of Monetary Policy Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers dp0725, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Tenreyro, Silvana & Olivei, Giovanni, 2006. "The Timing of Monetary Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 5716, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Honorata Sosnowska, 2013. "Analysis of the voting method used in the European Central Bank," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 23(1), pages 75-86.
- Hans Gersbach & Bernhard Pachl, 2009.
"Flexible Majority Rules for Central Banks,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 507-516, March.
- Hans Gersbach & Bernhard Pachl, 2009. "Flexible Majority Rules for Central Banks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 507-516, March.
- Gersbach, Hans & Pachl, Bernhard, 2004. "Flexible Majority Rules for Central Banks," CEPR Discussion Papers 4398, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Riboni, Alessandro & Ruge-Murcia, Francisco, 2014.
"Dissent in monetary policy decisions,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 137-154.
- Alessandro Riboni & Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, 2011. "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions," Working Paper series 27_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- RIBONI, Alessandro & RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J., 2011. "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions," Cahiers de recherche 06-2011, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- RIBONI, Alessandro & RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J., 2011. "Dissent in Monetary Policy Decisions," Cahiers de recherche 2011-05, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Dong Beom Choi & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Tanju Yorulmazer, 2016. "Sooner or Later: Timing of Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Risk-Taking," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 490-495, May.
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003.
"Inflation forecast uncertainty,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Nov 2001.
- Söderlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010.
"Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 514-538.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," ifo Working Paper Series 60, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers 09-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Sirchenko, Andrei, 2010. "Policymakers' Votes and Predictability of Monetary Policy," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8qj3z3qg, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Charemza, Wojciech & Díaz, Carlos & Makarova, Svetlana, 2019. "Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 994-1007.
- Charemza, Wojciech & Ladley, Daniel, 2016. "Central banks’ forecasts and their bias: Evidence, effects and explanation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 804-817.
- Michael P. Clements, 2014. "Forecast Uncertainty- Ex Ante and Ex Post : U.S. Inflation and Output Growth," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 206-216, April.
- Petra M. Geraats, 2009.
"Trends in Monetary Policy Transparency,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 235-268, August.
- Petra Geraats, 2009. "Trends in Monetary Policy Transparency," CESifo Working Paper Series 2584, CESifo.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2021.
"A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 233-253, February.
- Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2018. "A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers 1811, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2018. "A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers (Old Series) 1813, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Svetlana Makarova, 2018. "European Central Bank Footprints On Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 637-652, January.
- Krüger, Fabian & Nolte, Ingmar, 2016. "Disagreement versus uncertainty: Evidence from distribution forecasts," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(S), pages 172-186.
- Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
- Dovern, Jonas, 2024.
"Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 113-123.
- Dovern, Jonas, 2023. "Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households," Working Papers 38, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Huang, Rong & Pilbeam, Keith & Pouliot, William, 2022. "Are macroeconomic forecasters optimists or pessimists? A reassessment of survey based forecasts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 706-724.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022.
"Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 29-50,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 5468, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2020. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 8810, CESifo.
- Glas, Alexander & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016.
"Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 215-228.
- Glas, Alexander & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 0612, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Glas, Alexander & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Inflation uncertainty, disagreement and monetary policy: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145888, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Ozturk, Ezgi O. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2018.
"Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 276-295.
- Ezgi O. Ozturk & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2017. "Measuring Global and Country-Specific Uncertainty," IMF Working Papers 2017/219, International Monetary Fund.
- Clements, Michael P., 2018.
"Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 181-198.
- Michael Clements, 2016. "Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013.
"Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
13/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Ex-post Inflation Forecast Uncertainty and Skew Normal Distribution: ‘Back from the Future’ Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Alexander Glas & Matthias Hartmann, 2022.
"Uncertainty measures from partially rounded probabilistic forecast surveys,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 979-1022, July.
- Alexander Glas & Matthias Hartmann, 2020. "Uncertainty measures from partially rounded probabilistic forecast surveys," Working Papers 427, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2020.
- Hartmann, Matthias & Herwartz, Helmut & Ulm, Maren, 2017. "A comparative assessment of alternative ex ante measures of inflation uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 76-89.
- Knüppel, Malte, 2018.
"Forecast-error-based estimation of forecast uncertainty when the horizon is increased,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 105-116.
- Knüppel, Malte, 2014. "Forecast-error-based estimation of forecast uncertainty when the horizon is increased," Discussion Papers 40/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Charemza, Wojciech & Díaz, Carlos & Makarova, Svetlana, 2019. "Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 994-1007.
- Wojciech CHAREMZA & Carlos DÍAZ & Svetlana MAKAROVA, 2019.
"Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach,"
Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-18, March.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Yongchen Zhao, 2022.
"Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 810-828, July.
- Yongchen Zhao, 2021. "Uncertainty and Disagreement of Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Household-Level Qualitative Survey Responses," Working Papers 2021-03, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2021.
- Liu, Yang & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2019. "The measurement and transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from the U.S. and BRIC countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 967-979.
- Driver, Ciaran & Trapani, Lorenzo & Urga, Giovanni, 2013. "On the use of cross-sectional measures of forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 367-377.
- Horváth, Roman & Jonášová, Júlia, 2015.
"Central banks' voting records, the financial crisis and future monetary policy,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 229-243.
- Roman Horvath & Júlia Jonasova, 2014. "Central Banks Voting Records, Financial Crisis and Future Monetary Policy," Working Papers IES 2014/35, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2014.
More about this item
Keywords
voting algorithms; monetary policy; inflation targeting; forecast uncertainty;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
- E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CBA-2020-08-10 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2020-08-10 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2020-08-10 (Monetary Economics)
- NEP-ORE-2020-08-10 (Operations Research)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:101205. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.