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Global Competitiveness and Economic Growth: A One-Way or Two-Way Relationship?

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  • Aleksandra Kordalska

    (Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics)

  • Magdalena Olczyk

    (Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Economics)

Abstract

The Global Competitiveness Index is treated as a standard to measure the competitiveness of countries. Leaders look at it to make policy and resource allocation decisions because global competitiveness is expected to be related to economic growth. However, studies which analyze the empirical relationship between these two economic categories are very rare. It is still an open question in the literature whether economic growth can be used to predict future global competitiveness or the other way round. This paper empirically tests the relationship between the GCI and the economic growth rate by using a panel Granger causality analysis based on annual data for 114 countries divided into five groups by income criteria and covering the period 2006-2014. We confirm a strong unidirectional causality among the countries analyzed, i.e. GDP growth causes global competitiveness. Additionally, we find that the GCI is not successful in predicting economic growth for the majority of the 114 counties, with the exception of few large economies such as China, India, the United States and Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandra Kordalska & Magdalena Olczyk, 2015. "Global Competitiveness and Economic Growth: A One-Way or Two-Way Relationship?," Working Papers 63/2015, Institute of Economic Research, revised Apr 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:pes:wpaper:2015:no63
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Aamir Hussain Siddiqu & Syed Ammad Ali & UsmanAzhar, 2020. "Global Competitiveness and Potential for Higher Exports," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 17-29.
    2. Beata Gavurova & Viera Ivankova & Martin Rigelsky & Ladislav Suhanyi, 2020. "Impact of Gender Inequalities in the Causes of Mortality on the Competitiveness of OECD Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Godoi, Lucas Gonçalves & Medeiros, Victor & Teixeira, Evandro Camargos, 2019. "Competitiveness and its determinants: a systemic analysis for developing countries," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    4. Muhammad Shahid Hassan & Samra Bukhari & Noman Arshed, 2020. "Competitiveness, governance and globalization: What matters for poverty alleviation?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 3491-3518, April.
    5. Aamir Hussain Siddiqu & Syed Ammad Ali & UsmanAzhar, 2020. "Global Competitiveness and Potential for Higher Exports," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 16-12.
    6. Mukhamediyev, Bulat & Temerbulatova, Zhansaya & Mukhamediyeva, Aliya, 2023. "The significance of world oil prices and macroeconomic factors for the global competitiveness of countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Jyotsna Joshi, 2021. "Competitiveness, Manufacturing and Infrastructure: The Asian Paradigm," Journal of Development Policy and Practice, , vol. 6(1), pages 78-107, January.
    8. Angelidis, Timotheos & Michairinas, Athanasios & Sakkas, Athanasios, 2024. "World ESG performance and economic activity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    9. Miguel-Ángel Galindo-Martín & María-Soledad Castaño-Martínez & María-Teresa Méndez-Picazo, 2023. "Digitalization, entrepreneurship and competitiveness: an analysis from 19 European countries," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 17(5), pages 1809-1826, July.
    10. Elena Fifeková & Eduard Nežinský & Edita Nemcová, 2018. "Global Competitiveness of Europe: A Robust Assessment," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 4, pages 245-260, December.
    11. Ramona Tiganasu & Gabriela Carmen Pascariu & Dan Lupu, 2022. "Competitiveness, fiscal policy and corruption: evidence from Central and Eastern European countries," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 667-698, September.
    12. Nababan, Tongam Sihol, 2019. "Development Analysis of Global Competitiveness Index of ASEAN-7 Countries and Its Relationship on Gross Domestic Product," MPRA Paper 91204, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Dec 2018.
    13. Dana Kiseľáková & Beáta Šofranková & Miroslav Gombár & Veronika Čabinová & Erika Onuferová, 2019. "Competitiveness and Its Impact on Sustainability, Business Environment, and Human Development of EU (28) Countries in terms of Global Multi-Criteria Indices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-25, June.
    14. Asada, Raphael & Stern, Tobias, 2018. "Competitive Bioeconomy? Comparing Bio-based and Non-bio-based Primary Sectors of the World," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 120-128.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global Competitiveness Index; economic growth; panel Granger causality test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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