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Anticipating unintended consequences of policy: Learnings from Indonesia's child labor reform

Author

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  • Elghafiky Bimardhika
  • Firman Witoelar

Abstract

We study the causal effects of a labor law that governs child workers on labor market outcomes and the well-being of individuals. We exploit the timing of the national legislation to identify the causal effects of child labor reform using the Regression Discontinuity Design. We find that individuals who entered adulthood after the reform are less likely to have participated in the labor market during childhood. The reform also lowers the likelihood of poor health and improves the probability of working in paid jobs when children have reached adulthood. Our heterogeneity analysis highlights the importance of complementing regulation with enforcement and support programs to minimize unintended consequences that plagued many similar reforms.

Suggested Citation

  • Elghafiky Bimardhika & Firman Witoelar, 2025. "Anticipating unintended consequences of policy: Learnings from Indonesia's child labor reform," Departmental Working Papers 2025-04, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:pas:papers:2025-04
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    File URL: https://crawford-prod.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/2025-02/ACDE%20T%26D%20BimardhikaWitoelar%20Feb%202025-04.pdf
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • J08 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics Policies
    • J80 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - General
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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