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Jobs and technology in general equilibrium: A three elasticities approach

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  • Richard Baldwin
  • Jan I. Haaland
  • Anthony J. Venables

Abstract

The impact of technological progress on jobs and wages has been subject to much empirical and some theoretical work e.g. on skill-biased technical progress. Most of this literature has focused on two causal channels; the jobs-displacing substitution effect, and the job-creating demand effect. This paper shows that a further channel shapes the quantitative and qualitative effects of technical change. This is a general-equilibrium effect, depending on the interplay between the factors and sectors impacted by change. The paper integrates these three channels and derives explicit expressions for the effects of different types of technical change on wages and sectoral employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard Baldwin & Jan I. Haaland & Anthony J. Venables, 2021. "Jobs and technology in general equilibrium: A three elasticities approach," Economics Series Working Papers 933, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:933
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2019. "Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 33(2), pages 3-30, Spring.
    2. Ronald W. Jones, 2018. "The Structure of Simple General Equilibrium Models," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: International Trade Theory and Competitive Models Features, Values, and Criticisms, chapter 4, pages 61-84, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Xu, Bin, 2001. "Factor bias, sector bias, and the effects of technical progress on relative factor prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 5-25, June.
    4. Krugman, Paul R., 2000. "Technology, trade and factor prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 51-71, February.
    5. Haskel, Jonathan E. & Slaughter, Matthew J., 2002. "Does the sector bias of skill-biased technical change explain changing skill premia?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1757-1783, December.
    6. David Card & John E. DiNardo, 2002. "Skill-Biased Technological Change and Rising Wage Inequality: Some Problems and Puzzles," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 20(4), pages 733-783, October.
    7. Ronald W. Jones, 2000. "Technical Progress, Price Adjustments, and Wages," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), pages 497-503, August.
    8. David H. Autor & Lawrence F. Katz & Melissa S. Kearney, 2008. "Trends in U.S. Wage Inequality: Revising the Revisionists," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 90(2), pages 300-323, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chrystalla Kapetaniou & Christopher A Pissarides, 2020. "Productive Robots and Industrial Employment: The role of national innovation systems," Discussion Papers 2023, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    2. Kerstin Hotte & Melline Somers & Angelos Theodorakopoulos, 2022. "Technology and jobs: A systematic literature review," Papers 2204.01296, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Technical change; wages; employment; factor intensity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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