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Local Multipliers In United States Cities: A Replication of Moretti (2010)

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  • Jasper van Dijk

Abstract

This paper replicates Moretti (AER, 2010). I estimate the local employment multiplier between the tradable and the nontradable sector in MSAs in the United States using two methods. The first replicates Moretti's results, based on the description he gives in his paper and part of his estimation files. I am able to reverse engineer the specification he uses, but identify some discrepancies with his results. The second method is an alternative to his specification that produces more robust estimates of the local multiplier effect with more policy relevance. Using an alternative instrument which, I argue is more plausibly exogenous, I find that for each 100 new jobs in the tradable sector, there are 84 additional jobs created in the nontradable sector of the same city. This is 75 fewer jobs than predicted by Moretti.

Suggested Citation

  • Jasper van Dijk, 2015. "Local Multipliers In United States Cities: A Replication of Moretti (2010)," Economics Series Working Papers 771, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:771
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Enrico Moretti, 2010. "Local Multipliers," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 373-377, May.
    2. Faggio, Giulia & Overman, Henry, 2014. "The effect of public sector employment on local labour markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 91-107.
    3. O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), 2011. "Handbook of Labor Economics," Handbook of Labor Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 4, number 4.
    4. Moretti, Enrico, 2011. "Local Labor Markets," Handbook of Labor Economics, in: O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), Handbook of Labor Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 14, pages 1237-1313, Elsevier.
    5. O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), 2011. "Handbook of Labor Economics," Handbook of Labor Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 4, number 5.
    6. Enrico Moretti & Per Thulin, 2013. "Local multipliers and human capital in the United States and Sweden," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 22(1), pages 339-362, February.
    7. Timothy J. Bartik, 1991. "Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies?," Books from Upjohn Press, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, number wbsle, November.
    8. Marta Auricchio, 2015. "Local Manufacturing Multiplier, Technology Level and Human Capital in Italian Local Labor Markets," ERSA conference papers ersa15p1381, European Regional Science Association.
    9. Margherita Gerolimetto & Stefano Magrini, 2014. "Spatial analysis of employment multilpliers in Spanish labor markets," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 68(3-4), pages 87-94, July-Dece.
    10. G. de Blasio & C. Menon, 2011. "Local Effects of Manufacturing Employment Growth in Italy," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 70(3), pages 101-112, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Local labor market; multiplier; tradable; nontradable;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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