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Debt Stabilization in a Non-Ricardian Economy

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  • Simon Wren-Lewis
  • Campbell Leith and Ioana Moldovan

Abstract

In models with a representative infinitely lived household, modern versions of tax smoothing imply that the steady-state of government debt should follow a random walk. This is unlikely to be the case in OLG economies, where the equilibrium interest rate may differ from the policy-maker's rate of time preference such that it may be optimal to reduce debt today to reduce distortionary taxation in the future. Moreover, the level of the capital stock (and therefore output and consumption) in these economies is likely to be sub-optimally low, and reducing government debt will 'crowd in' additional capital. Using an elaborated version of the model of perpetual youth developed by Blanchard (1985) and Yaari (1985), we derive the optimal steady state level of government assets. We show how and why this level of government assets falls short of the level of debt that achieves the optimal capital stock and the level that eliminates income taxes.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Wren-Lewis & Campbell Leith and Ioana Moldovan, 2011. "Debt Stabilization in a Non-Ricardian Economy," Economics Series Working Papers 542, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:542
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. The long run government debt target
      by Mainly Macro in Mainly Macro on 2013-01-12 00:11:00
    2. Optimal Debt Policy for Ireland (Warning: Wonkish)
      by John McHale in The Irish Economy on 2013-02-13 04:22:43
    3. Secular stagnation and computers
      by Mainly Macro in Mainly Macro on 2014-12-02 19:21:00

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    Cited by:

    1. Donal Smith, 2015. "Collateral Constraints and the Interest Rate," Discussion Papers 15/22, Department of Economics, University of York.
    2. Jonathan Portes & Simon Wren-Lewis, 2015. "Issues in the Design of Fiscal Policy Rules," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83, pages 56-86, September.
    3. Cole, Alexandre Lucas & Guerello, Chiara & Traficante, Guido, 2020. "One Emu Fiscal Policy For The Euro," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1437-1477, September.
    4. Ovalle, Raul & Ramírez, Francisco A., 2014. "Reglas versus Discreción en la Política Fiscal: Introducción al caso Dominicano [Rules vs Discretion in Fiscal Policy: An Introduction to the Case of the Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper 68332, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-Ricardian consumers; Macroeconomic stability; Distortionary taxes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy

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