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Pick Your Poison: The Attribution Paradox in Cyberwar

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  • Jardine, Eric
  • Porter, Nathaniel D

    (Virginia Tech)

Abstract

Certainty matters in cyberspace. The so-called attribution problem can impede deterrence, making cyberattacks more likely. But attribution problems can also limit conflict escalation, keeping nations safer. Using a discrete choice experimental design, this article quantifies the scope of the attribution problem for both deterrence and escalation. The results suggest that the attribution problem is really only a problem for deterrence and actually helps limit conflict escalation by reducing support for more severe retaliatory options.

Suggested Citation

  • Jardine, Eric & Porter, Nathaniel D, 2020. "Pick Your Poison: The Attribution Paradox in Cyberwar," SocArXiv etb72, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:etb72
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/etb72
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eric Jardine, 2018. "Mind the denominator: towards a more effective measurement system for cybersecurity," Journal of Cyber Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 116-139, January.
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