IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/256eh_v1.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Globalization, Government Popularity, and the Great Skill Divide

Author

Listed:
  • Aksoy, Cevat Giray
  • Guriev, Sergei
  • Treisman, Daniel

Abstract

We provide the first large-scale, global evidence on the impact of the skill composition of trade on political approval. We show that political implications of trade shocks depend on the relationship between workers’ skills and the characteristics of goods traded. Using Gallup World Poll surveys of a million respondents from 120 countries over 2005-2018, we show that growth in high skill intensive exports increases confidence in government among skilled individuals relative to unskilled ones. Growth in high skill intensive imports has the opposite effect. Growth in low skill intensive exports (imports) increases (decreases) confidence in government among unskilled individuals relative to skilled ones. To identify causal relationships, we construct instruments based on time-varying effects of air and sea distances on bilateral trade in goods of different skill intensity.

Suggested Citation

  • Aksoy, Cevat Giray & Guriev, Sergei & Treisman, Daniel, 2022. "Globalization, Government Popularity, and the Great Skill Divide," SocArXiv 256eh_v1, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:256eh_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/256eh_v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/61f3b4fe2082b802774dee20/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/256eh_v1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:256eh_v1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.