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A Brazilian-Type Debt Crisis: Simple Analytics

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  • Assaf Razin
  • Efraim Sadka

Abstract

We develop a model that captures important features of debt crises of the Brazilian type. Its applicability to Brazil lies in the fact that (1) macro fundamentals were sound in the wake of the crisis (e .g., a non-negligible primary surplus, a relatively low debt/GDP ratio, low inflation, etc.); and (2) the trigger for the crisis appears to be the forthcoming elections, with an expected regime change.

Suggested Citation

  • Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka, 2003. "A Brazilian-Type Debt Crisis: Simple Analytics," NBER Working Papers 9606, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9606
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim, 2001. "Country risk and capital flow reversals," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 73-77, July.
    2. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1988. "Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 647-661, September.
    3. Velasco, Andres, 1996. "Animal spirits, investment and international capital movements," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 221-237, April.
    4. Townsend, Robert M., 1979. "Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 265-293, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Philipp Paulus, 2006. "Brüssel, Frankfurt oder Basel - Wo muss das Problem steigender Staatsschulden in der Europäischen Währungsunion gelöst werden?," Otto-Wolff-Institut Discussion Paper Series 01/2006, Otto-Wolff-Institut für Wirtschaftsordnung, Köln, Deutschland.

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