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Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market: A Model with Downpayment Effects

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  • Jeremy C. Stein

Abstract

This paper presents a simple model of trade in the housing market. The crucial feature is that a minimum downpayment is required for the purchase of a new home. The model has direct implications for the volatility of house prices, as well as for the correlation between prices and trading volume. The model can also be extended to address the correlation between prices and time-to-sale, as well as certain aspects of the cyclical behavior of housing starts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeremy C. Stein, 1993. "Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market: A Model with Downpayment Effects," NBER Working Papers 4373, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:4373
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    Cited by:

    1. Richard K. Green & Patric H. Hendershott, 2001. "Home-ownership and Unemployment in the US," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 38(9), pages 1509-1520, August.
    2. Michal Hlavacek & Lubos Komarek, 2009. "Housing Price Bubbles and their Determinants in the Czech Republic and its Regions," Working Papers 2009/12, Czech National Bank.
    3. Gabriel Lee, 1999. "Housing cycles and the period of production," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(10), pages 1219-1230.
    4. Quigley, John M., 2002. "Transactions Costs and Housing Markets," Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, Working Paper Series qt6pz8p6zt, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy.
    5. Christopher J. Mayer, 1993. "A model of real estate auctions versus negotiated sales," Working Papers 93-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    6. Charles Leung & N-K. Chen, 2006. "Intrinsic Cycles of Land Price: A Simple Model," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 293-320, January.
    7. Case, Karl E. & Mayer, Christopher J., 1996. "Housing price dynamics within a metropolitan area," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 387-407, June.
    8. Elizabeth Laderman & Wayne Passmore, 1998. "Is mortgage lending by savings associations special?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 30-46.
    9. François Ortalo-Magné & Sven Rady, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics: On the Contribution of Income Shocks and Credit Constraints ," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(2), pages 459-485.
    10. Hallberg, Daniel & Johansson, Per, 2002. "Turnover and Price in the Housing Market: Causation, Association or Independence?," Working Paper Series 2002:12, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    11. Chris Downing & Richard Stanton & Nancy Wallace, 2003. "An empirical test of a two-factor mortgage valuation model: how much do house prices matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    12. Genesove, David & Mayer, Christopher J, 1997. "Equity and Time to Sale in the Real Estate Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 255-269, June.
    13. Sewin Chan, 1998. "Spatial Lock-in: Do Falling House Prices Constrain Residential Mobility?," Departmental Working Papers 199816, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    14. Fracois Ortalo-Magne & Sven Rady, 2000. "Why are Housing Prices so Volatile? Income Shocks in a Stochastic Heterogeneous-Agents Model," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1352, Econometric Society.
    15. Chan, Sewin, 1996. "Residential mobility and mortgages," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 287-311, June.
    16. Baker, Malcolm & Stein, Jeremy C., 2004. "Market liquidity as a sentiment indicator," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 271-299, June.
    17. Taha H Rashidi & Milad Ghasri, 2019. "A competing survival analysis for housing relocation behaviour and risk aversion in a resilient housing market," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 46(1), pages 122-142, January.
    18. Sewin Chan, 1995. "Residential Mobility and Mortgages," NBER Working Papers 5181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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