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On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity

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  • Minsu Chang
  • Frank Schorfheide

Abstract

In this paper we use the functional vector autoregression (VAR) framework of Chang, Chen, and Schorfheide (2024) to study the effects of monetary policy shocks (conventional and informational) on the cross-sectional distribution of U.S. earnings (from the Current Population Survey), consumption, and financial income (both from the Consumer Expenditure Survey). We find that a conventional expansionary monetary policy shock reduces earnings inequality, in large part by lifting individuals out of unemployment. There is a weakly positive effect on consumption inequality and no effect on financial income inequality, but credible bands are wide.

Suggested Citation

  • Minsu Chang & Frank Schorfheide, 2024. "On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity," NBER Working Papers 32166, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:32166
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    1. Yoosoon Chang & Ana María Herrera & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "Oil prices uncertainty, endogenous regime switching, and inflation anchoring," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 820-839, September.
    2. Hilde C. Bjornland & Yoosoon Chang & Jamie L. Cross, 2023. "Oil and the Stock Market Revisited: A Mixed Functional VAR Approach," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-005 Classification-1, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    3. Diebold, Francis X. & Li, Canlin, 2006. "Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 337-364, February.
    4. Yongsung Chang & Sun-Bin Kim, 2006. "From Individual To Aggregate Labor Supply: A Quantitative Analysis Based On A Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomy ," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 47(1), pages 1-27, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Florian Huber & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2024. "The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty," Papers 2411.12655, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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