IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbr/nberwo/30857.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Potential Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Healthcare Spending

Author

Listed:
  • Nikhil Sahni
  • George Stein
  • Rodney Zemmel
  • David M. Cutler

Abstract

The potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to simplify existing healthcare processes and create new, more efficient ones is a major topic of discussion in the industry. Yet healthcare lags other industries in AI adoption. In this paper, we estimate that wider adoption of AI could lead to savings of 5 to 10 percent in US healthcare spending—roughly $200 billion to $360 billion annually in 2019 dollars. These estimates are based on specific AI-enabled use cases that employ today’s technologies, are attainable within the next five years, and would not sacrifice quality or access. These opportunities could also lead to nonfinancial benefits such as improved healthcare quality, increased access, better patient experience, and greater clinician satisfaction. We further present case studies and discuss how to overcome the challenges to AI deployments. We conclude with a review of recent market trends that may shift the AI adoption trajectory toward a more rapid pace.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikhil Sahni & George Stein & Rodney Zemmel & David M. Cutler, 2023. "The Potential Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Healthcare Spending," NBER Working Papers 30857, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30857
    Note: AG EH PR
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w30857.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zahlan, Ahmed & Ranjan, Ravi Prakash & Hayes, David, 2023. "Artificial intelligence innovation in healthcare: Literature review, exploratory analysis, and future research," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • L2 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior
    • M15 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - IT Management

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30857. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nberrus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.