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The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting

Author

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  • Jeffrey A. Frankel
  • Randy Kotti

Abstract

Vaccination rates have a statistically significant downward effect on the Covid-19 death rate across US counties, as of August 12, 2021. Controlling for poverty rates, age, and temperature lowers the magnitude of the estimate a little. Using the Biden-Trump vote in the 2020 election as an instrument for vaccination rates raises the magnitude of the estimate. Presumably it corrects for a positive effect of observed local Covid deaths on the decision to get vaccinated. Overall, the estimated beneficial effect holds up and has risen over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Jeffrey A. Frankel & Randy Kotti, 2021. "The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting," NBER Working Papers 29186, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29186
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joshua S. Gans, 2023. "Vaccine Hesitancy, Passports, And The Demand For Vaccination," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(2), pages 641-652, May.
    2. Cem Cakmakli & Selva Demiralp & Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Sevcan Yesiltas & Muhammed A. Yildirim, 2020. "COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks and Capital Flows," IMF Working Papers 2020/133, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pongou, Roland & Tchuente, Guy & Tondji, Jean-Baptiste, 2021. "Optimally Targeting Interventions in Networks during a Pandemic: Theory and Evidence from the Networks of Nursing Homes in the United States," GLO Discussion Paper Series 957, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    2. Roland Pongou & Guy Tchuente & Jean-Baptiste Tondji, 2021. "Optimally Targeting Interventions in Networks during a Pandemic: Theory and Evidence from the Networks of Nursing Homes in the United States," Papers 2110.10230, arXiv.org.
    3. Nguyen, Manh-Hung & Hoang, Viet-Ngu & Nghiem, Son & Nguyen, Lan Anh, 2024. "The Dynamic and Heterogeneous Effects of COVID-19 Vaccination Mandates in the USA," TSE Working Papers 24-1598, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).

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    JEL classification:

    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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