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Workforce Aging, Pension Reforms, and Firm Outcomes

Author

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  • Francesca Carta
  • Francesco D'Amuri
  • Till M. von Wachter

Abstract

This paper quantifies the effect of a policy-induced sharp increase in retirement ages on input mix and economic outcomes of firms using Italian matched worker-firm data. Data on lifetime pension contributions are used to calculate the expected additional number of older workers employed by each firm due to the reform. Resulting instrumental variable estimates show an increase in older workers leads to a precisely estimated rise in employment of younger workers, value added, and total labor costs at constant labor productivity and unit labor costs. The findings suggest rising institutional retirement ages can help firms to retain valuable older employees.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Carta & Francesco D'Amuri & Till M. von Wachter, 2021. "Workforce Aging, Pension Reforms, and Firm Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 28407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28407
    Note: AG LS
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    Cited by:

    1. Tito Boeri & Pietro Garibaldi & Espen R. Moen, 2022. "In medio stat victus: Labor Demand Effects of an Increase in the Retirement Age," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 35(2), pages 519-556, April.
    2. Francesco D'Amuri & Marta De Philippis & Elisa Guglielminetti & Salvatore Lo Bello, 2021. "Natural unemployment and activity rates: flow-based determinants and implications for price dynamics," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 599, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. D’Amuri, Francesco & De Philippis, Marta & Guglielminetti, Elisa & Lo Bello, Salvatore, 2022. "Slack and prices during Covid-19: Accounting for labor market participation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Lucia Rizzica, 2020. "The Italian public sector workforce: recent evolution in the light of the rules on turnover," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 560, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Rutten, Albert & van Vuuren, Daniël & Knoef, Marike, 2022. "Employment Effects of Incentivized Gradual Retirement Plans," Other publications TiSEM 37eba9e7-b6ff-4f31-9c42-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. Hernæs, Erik & Kornstad, Tom & Markussen, Simen & Røed, Knut, 2023. "Ageing and labor productivity," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. Davide Dottori & Francesca Modena & Giulia Martina Tanzi, 2023. "Measuring peer effects in parental leaves: evidence from a reform," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1399, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Diego Daruich & Sabrina Di Addario & Raffaele Saggio, 2023. "The Effects of Partial Employment Protection Reforms: Evidence from Italy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(6), pages 2880-2942.
    9. Osathanunkul, Rossarin & Dumrong, Pasinee & Yamaka, Woraphon & Maneejuk, Paravee, 2023. "The nonlinear impacts of aging labor and government health expenditures on productivity in ASEAN+3 economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 450-470.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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