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Commodity Connectedness

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  • Francis X. Diebold
  • Laura Liu
  • Kamil Yilmaz

Abstract

We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from network analysis. The results reveal clear clustering of commodities into groups that match traditional industry groupings, but with some notable differences. The energy sector is most important in terms of sending shocks to others, and energy, industrial metals, and precious metals are themselves tightly connected.

Suggested Citation

  • Francis X. Diebold & Laura Liu & Kamil Yilmaz, 2017. "Commodity Connectedness," NBER Working Papers 23685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23685
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    1. Mert Demirer & Francis X. Diebold & Laura Liu & Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Estimating global bank network connectedness," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-15, January.
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