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Interest Rate, Inflation, and Housing Price: With an Emphasis on Chonsei Price in Korea

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  • Dongchul Cho

Abstract

This paper discusses the relationship between interest rate and inflation rate on one part and the house price relative to chonsei price (up-front lump-sum deposit from the tenant to the owner for the use of the property with no additional requirement for periodic rent payments) on the other. The key point of the paper is that the relative price of sales to chonsei depends on the ratio of inflation to real interest rate, and thus even when the monetary authority maintains a pre-announced target level of inflation rate, the relative price of sales to chonsei rises if the real interest rate is lowered. This finding seems to help understand the recent hikes of the house prices despite the stabilizing chonsei prices. Recognizing this relationship, it may be sensible to lower the target inflation rate in an economy where real interest rates permanently decline, if the society wishes to reduce its adverse effect on the wealth distribution between house owners and chonsei tenants.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongchul Cho, 2005. "Interest Rate, Inflation, and Housing Price: With an Emphasis on Chonsei Price in Korea," NBER Working Papers 11054, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11054
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoon Cho & Kyung-Hwan Kim & James Shilling, 2012. "Seemingly Irrational but Predictable Price Formation in Seoul’s Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 526-542, May.
    2. Cho, Sang-Wook (Stanley), 2010. "Household wealth accumulation and portfolio choices in Korea," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 13-25, March.
    3. Cho, Sang-Wook (Stanley), 2012. "Accounting For Life-Cycle Wealth Accumulation: The Role Of Housing Institution," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(4), pages 493-517, September.
    4. Richard Ronald & Mee-Youn Jin, 2010. "Homeownership in South Korea: Examining Sector Underdevelopment," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 47(11), pages 2367-2388, October.
    5. Sam-Ho Lee, 2021. "Credit Constraint and Excess Return: The Case of Chonsei Leases in Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 37, pages 157-197.
    6. Patric H. Hendershott & Kyung-Hwan Kim & Jin Man Lee & James D. Shilling, 2021. "Announcement Effects: Taxation of Housing Capital Gains in Seoul," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 319-341, April.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models

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