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La dynamique de la croissance est-elle pro-pauvres au Niger ?

Author

Listed:
  • Youssoufou Hamadou Douada

    (GED, Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV)

Abstract

Ce papier tente de cerner la configuration de la croissance et de la pauvreté en relation avec la dynamique des privations. Dans ce contexte, deux orientations seront poursuivies. D’une part, l’étude propose d’examiner les spécificités de la croissance pro-pauvres en fonction du bien-être selon le pays, les régions et le milieu de résidence. D’autre part, un exercice de simulation est proposé pour mesurer l’impact des différents niveaux de croissance sur la réduction de la pauvreté. Dans le premier cas, il ressort globalement que la croissance économique nigérienne est pro-pauvres, sauf dans les villes (Niamey notamment) où la croissance semble être pro-riches – l’interférence négative de l’inégalité a plus que contrebalancé l’effet positif de la croissance. Dans le second cas, si le rôle de la croissance dans la réduction de la pauvreté est sans conteste, l’exercice de simulation montre que les efforts à fournir afin de parvenir à réduire de moitié la pauvreté, d’ici à 2015, sont importants. Il faut, en réalité, un taux de croissance économique à deux chiffres pour que le Niger arrive à un tel résultat, toute chose étant égale par ailleurs. This paper tries to determine the configuration of the growth and poverty in relation to the dynamics of the deprivations. In this context, two orientations will be continued. On the one hand, the study proposes to examine specificities of the growth the pro-poor according to the wellbeing according to the country, the areas and the residence. On the other hand, a simulation is proposed to measure the impact of different levels of growth on poverty reduction. In the first case, it arises overall that the economic growth of Niger is pro-poor, except in the cities (Niamey in particular) where the growth seems to be pro-rich – the negative interference of the inequality more than counterbalanced the positive effect of the growth. In the second case, if the role of the growth in the reduction of poverty is undoubtedly, the simulation shows that the efforts required in order to reduce poverty by half, from here at 2015, are important. It is necessary to obtain a rate of economic growth with two digits so that Niger arrives at such a result, all things being equal.(Full text in french)

Suggested Citation

  • Youssoufou Hamadou Douada, 2011. "La dynamique de la croissance est-elle pro-pauvres au Niger ?," Documents de travail 164, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
    • Handle: RePEc:mon:ceddtr:164
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nanak Kakwani & Shahid Khandker & Hyun H. Son, 2004. "Pro-poor growth: concepts and measurement with country case studies," Working Papers 1, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
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    8. Bhagwati, Jagdish N., 1988. "Poverty and public policy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 539-555, May.
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    JEL classification:

    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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