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Exploring the implications of di erent loan-to-value macroprudential policy designs

Author

Listed:
  • Rita Basto

    (Banco de Portugal)

  • Sandra Gomes

    (Banco de Portugal)

  • Diana Lima

    (Banco de Portugal)

Abstract

This paper evaluates the macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy measures consisting of changes in loan-to-value ratios in the euro area. The analysis is carried out within a fully structural, multi-country model, that prominently includes nancial frictions and a banking sector. Our main findings suggest that a permanent LTV tightening in a small euro area economy leads to a long-run decline in lending to the private sector. The short-run impact depends crucially on the policy design, being less pronounced when the measure is phased-in. This is consistent with policy goals of curbing credit growth but avoiding an abrupt immediate contraction in lending. A policy measure introduced at the euro area level implies larger long-run e ects but the short-run recessionary impact is attenuated by the monetary policy response.

Suggested Citation

  • Rita Basto & Sandra Gomes & Diana Lima, 2018. "Exploring the implications of di erent loan-to-value macroprudential policy designs," GEE Papers 0113, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Oct 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:mde:wpaper:0113
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nakatani, Ryota, 2020. "Macroprudential policy and the probability of a banking crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1169-1186.
    3. McQuinn, Kieran & O’Toole, Conor & Slaymaker, Rachel, 2021. "Credit access, macroprudential rules and policy interventions: Lessons for potential first time buyers," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 944-963.
    4. Hodula, Martin & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024. "Does macroprudential policy leak? Evidence from shadow bank lending in EU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Malovaná, Simona & Hodula, Martin & Gric, Zuzana & Bajzík, Josef, 2023. "Macroprudential policy in central banks: Integrated or separate? Survey among academics and central bankers," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Hodula, Martin & Janků, Jan & Pfeifer, Lukáš, 2023. "Macro-prudential policies to contain the effect of structural risks on financial downturns," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 1204-1222.
    7. Martin Hodula & Lukas Pfeifer & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2023. "Easing of Borrower-Based Measures: Evidence from Czech Loan-Level Data," Working Papers 2023/18, Czech National Bank.
    8. Suh, Hyunduk, 2023. "Regionally heterogeneous housing cycles and housing market stabilization policies: Evidence from Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Solikin M. Juhro & Denny Lie & Atet Rizki Wijoseno & Mohammad Aly Fikry, 2022. "Fiscal Policy Stance, Central Bank Digital Currency, And The Optimal Monetary-Macroprudential Policy Mix," Working Papers WP/01/2022, Bank Indonesia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroprudential policy; loan-to-value ratio; financial frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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