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Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario

Author

Listed:
  • Frank T. Denton
  • Amiram Gafni
  • Byron G. Spencer

Abstract

The effects of population change on requirements for physicians in Ontario are studied. Principal findings are the following: (a) contrary to popular belief, the overall increase in requirements will be significantly lower in 2000-2020 than in the preceding two decades; (b) population aging alone will raise the overall rate of growth of requirements but that will be more than offset by slower population growth; (c) the main effect of aging will be on the distribution of requirements among categories of physicians. These findings suggest that the emphasis on population aging in policy discussions of future overall physician requirements is unwarranted.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2000. "Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 355, McMaster University.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcm:qseprr:355
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    File URL: http://socserv.mcmaster.ca/qsep/p/qsep355.PDF
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. G Stoddart & M Barer, 1991. "Toward Integrated Medical Resource Policies for Canada. 10. Information Creation and Dissemination," Centre for Health Economics and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series 1991-07J, Centre for Health Economics and Policy Analysis (CHEPA), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada.
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    Cited by:

    1. Denton, Frank T. & Gafni, Amiram & Spencer, Byron G., 2002. "Exploring the effects of population change on the costs of physician services," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 781-803, September.
    2. Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2005. "Users and Suppliers of Physician Services: A Tale of Two Populations," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 399, McMaster University.
    3. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2009. "Chronic Health Conditions: Changing Prevalence in an Aging Population and Some Implications for the Delivery of Health Care Services," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 259, McMaster University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    population change; physicians; aging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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