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Aid Withdrawal as Punishment for Defaulting Sovereigns? An Empirical Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Jana Brandt

    (University of Giessen)

  • Markus Jorra

    (University of Giessen)

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates whether donor countries punish sovereign defaults by reducing foreign aid ows. Our ndings reject the hypothesis formulated in the theoretical literature that a default leads to a loss of foreign aid for the defaulting country. Creditor countries directly a ected by the default do not reduce their aid disbursements. Hence, foreign aid is not used as a punishment instrument. Neither can it therefore serve as an enforcement mechanism for international debt contracts. Furthermore, other donors even raise the amount of development assistance allocated to the delinquent country by about 15% on average. Overall the amount of foreign aid given to the defaulting country increases by 6.4%.

Suggested Citation

  • Jana Brandt & Markus Jorra, 2012. "Aid Withdrawal as Punishment for Defaulting Sovereigns? An Empirical Analysis," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201220, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  • Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:201220
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Fløgstad, Cathrin N. & Nordtveit, Ingvild, 2014. "Lending to developing countries: How do official creditors respond to sovereign defaults?," Working Papers in Economics 01/14, University of Bergen, Department of Economics.
    3. Horn, Fabian, 2015. "Quantifying the costs of sovereign defaults using odious debt cases as a quasi-natural experiment," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113125, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign defaults; Default costs; Foreign aid; Sanctions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models

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