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Overview of the Macedonian Policy Analysis Model (MAKPAM)

Author

Listed:
  • Tibor Hledik

    (Czech National Bank)

  • Sultanija Bojceva-Terzijan

    (National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia)

  • Biljana Jovanovic

    (National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia)

  • Rilind Kabashi

    (National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia)

Abstract

This paper describes the Macedonian Policy Analysis Model (MAKPAM), which is used at the National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for medium term macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis. The MAKPAM is a medium scale, New Keynesian gap model that incorporates the key characteristics of the Macedonian economy: a small open economy with a fixed exchange rate regime. This model outlines the transmission mechanism of the monetary policy in the Macedonian economy, and it helps to quantify the reaction of the economy to various shocks. Since 2008, the MAKPAM model has gradually become an important block of the macroeconomic forecasting system of the NBRM. The model is therefore an important analytic tool for supporting the monetary policy decision-making of the NBRM.

Suggested Citation

  • Tibor Hledik & Sultanija Bojceva-Terzijan & Biljana Jovanovic & Rilind Kabashi, 2016. "Overview of the Macedonian Policy Analysis Model (MAKPAM)," Working Papers 2016-04, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
    • Handle: RePEc:mae:wpaper:2016-04
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    File URL: http://www.nbrm.mk/WBStorage/Files/WebBuilder_MAKPAM_paper_v21.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2016
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
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    6. Michael Woodford, 2009. "Convergence in Macroeconomics: Elements of the New Synthesis," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(1), pages 267-279, January.
    7. Jaromír Beneš & Jaromír Hurník & David Vávra, 2008. "Exchange Rate Management and Inflation Targeting: Modeling the Exchange Rate in Reduced-Form New Keynesian Models," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 58(03-04), pages 166-194, May.
    8. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    9. Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Andrew Berg & Mr. Philippe D Karam, 2006. "A Practical Model-Based Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis—Overview," IMF Working Papers 2006/080, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Biljana Jovanovic & Marko Josimovski, 2021. "Income-specific inflation rates and the effects of monetary policy: the case of North Macedonia," Working Papers 2021-01, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
    2. Danica Unevska-Andonova, 2018. "Inflation Decomposition Model: Application to Macedonian inflation," Working Papers 2018-06, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New Keynesian; forecasting; monetary policy; Macedonia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

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