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Utilisation et coût de l’hébergement avec soins de longue durée au Québec, 2010 à 2050

Author

Listed:
  • François Laliberté-Auger
  • Aurélie Côté-Sergent
  • Yann Décarie
  • Jean-Yves Duclos
  • Pierre-Carl Michaud

Abstract

Dans cette étude, nous projetons, à l’aide d’un modèle qui simule la santé des Québécois, les besoins futurs d’hébergement avec soins de longue durée au Québec d’ici 2050. Nous estimons le nombre de place et les coûts associés à ces places. De plus, nous évaluons un nombre de scénarios qui pourraient soit augmenter ou diminuer les besoins futurs. Si rien ne change, nous projetons que les besoins de places en établissement de soins de longue durée augmenteront de 75 100 en 2010 à 196 900 en 2050, avec des coûts passant de 3,2 à 8,4 milliards en dollars constants, ce qui apparaît insoutenable. Ces besoins accrus sont en bonne partie tributaires d’une amélioration soutenue de l’espérance de vie.

Suggested Citation

  • François Laliberté-Auger & Aurélie Côté-Sergent & Yann Décarie & Jean-Yves Duclos & Pierre-Carl Michaud, 2015. "Utilisation et coût de l’hébergement avec soins de longue durée au Québec, 2010 à 2050," Cahiers de recherche 1512, Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques.
    • Handle: RePEc:lvl:criacr:1512
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    File URL: https://www.cedia.ca/sites/cedia.ca/files/cahier_15-12_utilisation_et_cout.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Martin Boyer & Philippe De Donder & Claude Denys Fluet & Marie-Louise Leroux & Pierre-Carl Michaud, 2018. "A Canadian Parlor Room-Type Approach to the Long-Term Care Insurance Puzzle," CIRANO Working Papers 2018s-13, CIRANO.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Soins de longue durée; projections; vieillissement; dépenses de santé; Québec;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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