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Medición de los efectos de un aumento del 20% de las tarifas de Estados Unidos sobre la economía mexicana a través de modelización multisectorial

Author

Listed:
  • Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional de México)

  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete

    (Universidad Loyola Andalucía)

  • María del Carmen Delgado

    (Universidad Loyola Andalucía)

Abstract

The goal of this research is to simulate the possible effects of the 20% increase in tariffs on the Mexican economy. The price model used is based on a general equilibrium linear model. With this price model, the estimate of the impact of the effects of a US tariff increase of 20% on the Mexican economy is roughly estimated, simulating this increase on prices in the rest of the world. In this way, it is possible to calculate the effects on consumer prices and welfare represented in this case by the CPI. The main result shows that the impact of the increase of the prices of the rest of the world to the increase of the tariffs in the United States on the CPI is inflationary with an increase of around 4%.

Suggested Citation

  • Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & María del Carmen Delgado, 2017. "Medición de los efectos de un aumento del 20% de las tarifas de Estados Unidos sobre la economía mexicana a través de modelización multisectorial," Working Papers 2017-001, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:loy:wpaper:2017-001
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Filippo di Pietro & Maria-José Palacín-Sánchez & José-Luis Roldan-Salguero, 2015. "Regional development and capital structure of SMEs," Working Papers 2015-003, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Department of Economics.
    2. Pilar Campoy-Muñoz & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & María del Carmen Delgado & Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, 2016. "Effects of a reduction in employers’ Social Security contributions: Evidence from Spain," Working Papers 2016-001, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Department of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Social accounting matrix; Input-output analysis; Applied general equilibrium; Consumer price index.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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