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Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme

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  • Alexandru MINEA
  • Patrick VILLIEU

Abstract

Nous proposons un modèle théorique simple permettant de prendre en compte l'existence de régimes d'endettement de long terme, en accord avec les faits saillants observés en longue période. Nous nous intéressons particulièrement aux effets d'une hausse permanente de la dette publique sur la croissance à long terme, et nous montrons que ces effets, toujours négatifs (on nuls), dépendent dans leur ampleur de la variable d'ajustement à la charge de la dette dans la contrainte budgétaire de l'Etat. Enfin, nous montrons qu'au contraire des effets sur la croissance, les effets sur le bien-être à long terme d'une hausse permanente de la dette publique peuvent être positifs. Nous en déduisons l'existence d'un seuil optimal pour le ratio de dette publique au PIB.
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  • Alexandru MINEA & Patrick VILLIEU, 2011. "Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 437, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    • Handle: RePEc:leo:wpaper:437
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2009. "Investissement public et effets non linéaires des déficits budgétaires," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 75(3), pages 281-311.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nastasia Henry & Alain Venditti, 2023. "On the (de)stabilization role of protectionism: Theory and evidence," Working Papers hal-04311555, HAL.
    2. Izu, Akhenaton, 2014. "Crise de la dette et détresse sociale du peuple congolais [Debt crisis and social distress of the Congolese]," MPRA Paper 64186, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Feb 2015.

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