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The Effects of Child Mortality Changes on Two Income Groups and Macroeconomics

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  • Hideki Nakamura

    (Osaka City University)

Abstract

This study considers uncertainty about the number of surviving children. Under prohibition of child labor, a higher survival probability of a child can increase opportunities for education investment as the fertility rate declines with a temporary increase in the number of surviving children. However, per capita GDP may decrease until the start of education investment. When people accumulate their human capital, the effect of an increase in the survival probability would be ambiguous. By applying panel estimation, we examine economic development with the effect of child mortality on the fertility rate and number of surviving children.

Suggested Citation

  • Hideki Nakamura, 2015. "The Effects of Child Mortality Changes on Two Income Groups and Macroeconomics," KIER Working Papers 920, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:920
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    File URL: http://www.kier.kyoto-u.ac.jp/DP/DP920.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Child mortality; Uncertainty about the number of surviving children; Escape from poverty by poor people; Child labor; Panel estimation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O50 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - General

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