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Geographical simulation analysis of the development of Thilawa and Myanmar

Author

Listed:
  • Isono, Ikumo
  • Kumagai, Satoru

Abstract

We use a geographical simulation model to assess the economic impacts of special economic zones (SEZs) and other policy measures in Myanmar. We compare cases wherein SEZ development is concentrated in Thilawa/Yangon with those wherein it is dispersed among 15 districts. We find that concentrated development has a much larger economic impact on Myanmar. Moreover, this impact is larger when we assume the development of a domestic economic corridor and regulatory reform in addition to the development of Thilawa and may reduce the excessive inflow of households into the Yangon area. We also discuss how delaying the dispersion of development affects the economic impacts on Yangon and other regions as well as on Myanmar.

Suggested Citation

  • Isono, Ikumo & Kumagai, Satoru, 2017. "Geographical simulation analysis of the development of Thilawa and Myanmar," IDE Discussion Papers 639, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    • Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper639
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ikumo Isono & Satoru Kumagai, 2013. "Dawei revisited: Reaffirmation of the importance of the project in the era of reforms in Myanmar," Working Papers PB-2013-01, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    2. Kumagai, Satoru & Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Isono, Ikumo & Keola, Souknilanh & Tsubota, Kenmei, 2013. "Geographical simulation analysis for logistics enhancement in Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 145-153.
    3. Kudo, Toshihiro & Kumagai, Satoru, 2012. "Two-polar growth strategy in Myanmar : seeking "high" and "balanced" development," IDE Discussion Papers 371, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Special economic zone; Economic development; Economic geography; Simulation; New economic geography; Myanmar; Special economic zone;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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