IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v78y2019ics0739885919302793.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Integrating a Computable General Equilibrium model with empirically calibrated transportation models for border crossing investment analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Shahrokhi Shahraki, Hamed
  • Bachmann, Chris

Abstract

Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models have been used extensively for assessing the economic impacts of transportation policies and projects. Most freight-related applications use stylistic representations of trade flows, commodity flows, and vehicles flows. This study proposes a framework that migrates from a stylistic CGE modelling approach by explicitly linking empirically calibrated transportation models of border crossing activities to a CGE model of the global economy. The framework incorporates stochastic queuing and mode choice modelling to comprehensively measure the impacts of border crossing investments. Border crossing scenarios include a 35% reduction in delay; a 4-min reduction in delay; and a reduction in delay resulting from the addition of one extra lane of capacity to each Canadian border crossing. Results suggest that the effects of border crossing investments and priorities are highly sensitive to delay modelling and mode splits, and less sensitive to mode shifts that result from investments. The proposed approach suggests Ambassador Bridge, Sarnia, and Fort Erie are the three most important border crossings for Canada's export competitiveness. A comparative analysis reveals that disregarding the real-world characteristics of the transportation system can result in large errors in the estimated impacts of border crossing investments on Canada's exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahrokhi Shahraki, Hamed & Bachmann, Chris, 2019. "Integrating a Computable General Equilibrium model with empirically calibrated transportation models for border crossing investment analysis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:78:y:2019:i:c:s0739885919302793
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2019.100767
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885919302793
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.retrec.2019.100767?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gilbert, John & Banik, Nilanjan, 2010. "Socioeconomic Impacts of Cross-Border Transport Infrastructure Development in South Asia," ADBI Working Papers 211, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Kumagai, Satoru & Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Isono, Ikumo & Keola, Souknilanh & Tsubota, Kenmei, 2013. "Geographical simulation analysis for logistics enhancement in Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 145-153.
    3. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521766555.
    4. Johannes Bröcker & Jean Mercenier, 2011. "General Equilibrium Models for Transportation Economics," Chapters, in: André de Palma & Robin Lindsey & Emile Quinet & Roger Vickerman (ed.), A Handbook of Transport Economics, chapter 2, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Trien T. Nguyen & Randall M. Wigle, 2011. "Border Delays Re-Emerging Priority: Within-Country Dimensions for Canada," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 37(1), pages 49-59, March.
    6. Zaki, Chahir, 2009. "Towards an Explicit Modeling of Trade Facilitation in CGE Models: Evidence from Egypt," Conference papers 331897, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Balistreri, Edward J. & Rutherford, Thomas F. & Tarr, David G., 2009. "Modeling services liberalization: The case of Kenya," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 668-679, May.
    8. Avetisyan, Misak & Heatwole, Nathaniel & Rose, Adam & Roberts, Bryan, 2015. "Competitiveness and macroeconomic impacts of reduced wait times at U.S. land freight border crossings," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 84-101.
    9. Dennis, Allen, 2006. "The impact of regional trade agreements and trade facilitation in the Middle East and North Africa region," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3837, The World Bank.
    10. Hamed Shahrokhi Shahraki & Chris Bachmann, 2018. "Designing computable general equilibrium models for transportation applications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(6), pages 737-764, November.
    11. Georges, Patrick & Mérette, Marcel, 2012. "Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the trade, FDI, and welfare impacts of liberalizing 9/11 security measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2514-2526.
    12. Patrick Georges & Marcel Mérette & Qi Zhang, 2012. "Toward a North American Security Perimeter? Assessing the Trade and FDI Impacts of Liberalizing 9/11 Security Measures," Working Papers 1204E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    13. Dirk Willenbockel, 2014. "A General Equilibrium Analysis of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite FTA," EcoMod2014 7232, EcoMod.
    14. Roberts, Bryan & Rose, Adam & Heatwole, Nathaniel & Wei, Dan & Avetisyan, Misak & Chan, Oswin & Maya, Isaac, 2014. "The impact on the US economy of changes in wait times at ports of entry," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 162-175.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ulengin, Fusun & Cekyay, Bora & Isik, Mine & Ozaydin, Ozay & Kabak, Özgür & Toktaş-Palut, Peral & Ekici, Sule Onsel & Topcu, Y. Ilker, 2021. "A simulation-based approach for improving the largest border crossing between Europe and Turkey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 350-363.
    2. Zhang, Jinbo & Liu, Lirong & Xie, Yulei & Han, Dengcheng & Zhang, Yang & Li, Zheng & Guo, Huaicheng, 2023. "Revealing the impact of an energy–water–carbon nexus–based joint tax management policy on the environ-economic system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    3. Deriu, S. & Cassar, I.P. & Pretaroli, R. & Socci, C., 2022. "The economic impact of Covid-19 pandemic in Sardinia," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    4. Cui, Qiang & Li, Xin-yi, 2021. "Investigating the Profit Pollution Abatement Costs difference before and after the “Carbon neutral growth from 2020” strategy was proposed," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Betarelli, Admir Antonio & Domingues, Edson Paulo & Hewings, Geoffrey John Dennis, 2020. "Transport policy, rail freight sector and market structure: The economic effects in Brazil," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1-23.
    2. Tchouamou Njoya, Eric, 2020. "An analysis of the tourism and wider economic impacts of price-reducing reforms in air transport services in Egypt," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Huang, Qingbo & Zhang, Xiaohan & Li, Yan, 2023. "Study on the economic effects of China and ASEAN countries from the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 123-135.
    4. Ioannis Charalampidis & Panagiotis Karkatsoulis & Pantelis Capros, 2019. "A Regional Economy-Energy-Transport Model of the EU for Assessing Decarbonization in Transport," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.
    5. Ulengin, Fusun & Cekyay, Bora & Isik, Mine & Ozaydin, Ozay & Kabak, Özgür & Toktaş-Palut, Peral & Ekici, Sule Onsel & Topcu, Y. Ilker, 2021. "A simulation-based approach for improving the largest border crossing between Europe and Turkey," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 350-363.
    6. Ran Zhang & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Zhuo Sun, 2024. "Evaluating the impact of Northern Sea Route fuel costs on bilateral trade between China and the EU," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 26(3), pages 436-461, September.
    7. Karimi, Farzad & Tavakoli, Akbar, 2010. "The Analysis of Trade Integration and Business Cycles Synchronization with Emphasis on Regional Arrangements among OIC Nations," Conference papers 331992, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Vaqar, Ahmed & Ghulam, Samad, 2011. "Trade facilitation for economic corridors in South Asia: the perspective of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 31368, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Georges, Patrick & Mérette, Marcel, 2011. "Trade Diversification Away from the U.S. or North American Customs Union? A Review of Canada’s Trade Policy Options," Conference papers 332084, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Chahir Zaki, 2011. "Assessing the Global Effect of Trade Facilitation: Evidence from the MIRAGE Model," Working Papers 659, Economic Research Forum, revised 12 Jan 2011.
    11. Patrick Georges, 2017. "Canada’s Trade Policy Options under Donald Trump: NAFTA’s rules of origin, Canada-U.S. security perimeter, and Canada’s geographical trade diversification opportunities," Working Papers 1707E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    12. Edward J Balistreri & Maryla Maliszewska & Israel Osorio-Rodarte & David G Tarr & Hidemichi Yonezawa, 2018. "Poverty, Welfare and Income Distribution Implications of Reducing Trade Costs Through Deep Integration in Eastern and Southern Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 27(2), pages 172-200.
    13. A S M Abdul Quium, 2019. "Transport Corridors for Wider Socio–Economic Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Edward J. Balistreri & David G. Tarr & Hidemichi Yonezawa, 2015. "Deep Integration in Eastern and Southern Africa: What are the Stakes?," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 24(5), pages 677-706.
    15. Zhifeng Gao & Ted C. Schroeder, 2009. "Consumer responses to new food quality information: are some consumers more sensitive than others?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(3), pages 339-346, May.
    16. Cheng, Leilei & Yin, Changbin & Chien, Hsiaoping, 2015. "Demand for milk quantity and safety in urban China: evidence from Beijing and Harbin," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(2), April.
    17. Wen, Chieh-Hua & Huang, Chia-Jung & Fu, Chiang, 2020. "Incorporating continuous representation of preferences for flight departure times into stated itinerary choice modeling," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 10-20.
    18. Johannes Buggle & Thierry Mayer & Seyhun Orcan Sakalli & Mathias Thoenig, 2023. "The Refugee’s Dilemma: Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 1273-1345.
    19. Christelis, Dimitris & Dobrescu, Loretti I. & Motta, Alberto, 2020. "Early life conditions and financial risk-taking in older age," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    20. Ortega, David L. & Wang, H. Holly & Wu, Laping & Hong, Soo Jeong, 2015. "Retail channel and consumer demand for food quality in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 359-366.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transport policy; Infrastructure investment optimization; Economic impact analysis; Transport economics; Border crossing; Computable general equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F68 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:78:y:2019:i:c:s0739885919302793. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/620614/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.