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An empirical analysis of the money demand function in India

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  • Inoue, Takeshi
  • Hamori, Shigeyuki

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes India’s money demand function during the period of 1980 to 2007 using monthly data and the period of 1976 to 2007 using annual data. Cointegration test results indicated that when money supply is represented by M1 and M2, a cointegrating vector is detected among real money balances, interest rates, and output. In contrast, it was found thatwhen money supply is represented by M3, there is no long-run equilibrium relationship in the money demand function. Moreover, when the money demand function was estimated using dynamic OLS, the sign onditions of the coefficients of output and interest rates were found to be consistent with theoretical rationale, and statistical significance was confirmed when moneysupply was represented by either M1 or M2. Consequently, though India’s central bank presently uses M3 as an indicator of future price movements, it is thought appropriate to focus on M1 or M2, rather than M3, in managing monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Inoue, Takeshi & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2008. "An empirical analysis of the money demand function in India," IDE Discussion Papers 166, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    • Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper166
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    Cited by:

    1. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Padhan, Hemachandra & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2020. "Understanding the time-frequency dynamics of money demand, oil prices and macroeconomic variables: The case of India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Adil, Masudul Hasan & Haider, Salman & Hatekar, Neeraj, 2018. "The empirical verification of money demand in case of India: Post-reform era," MPRA Paper 87148, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Jun 2018.
    3. Singh, Prakash & Pandey, Manoj K., 2009. "Structural break, stability and demand for money in India," MPRA Paper 15425, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. S. M. Woahid Murad & Ruhul Salim & Md. Golam Kibria, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 451-470, September.
    5. Afees Salisu & Idris Ademuyiwa & Basiru Fatai, 2013. "Modelling the Demand for Money in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 635-647.
    6. Nitin, Arora & Asghar, OsatiEraghi, 2016. "Does India have a stable demand for money function after reforms? A macroeconometric analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 44, pages 25-37.
    7. Felix S. Nyumuah, 2017. "An Investigation into the Interest Elasticity of Demand for Money in Developing Countries: A Panel Data Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(3), pages 69-80, March.
    8. Chandan Sharma, 2009. "Does Full Sterilization Feasible in Era of Excess Volatility: Evidence from India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 2944-2950.
    9. John Paul Dunne & Elizabeth Kasekende, 2018. "Financial Innovation and Money Demand: Evidence from Sub‐Saharan Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(4), pages 428-448, December.
    10. Muhammad Ahad, 2017. "Financial Development and Money Demand Function: Cointegration, Causality and Variance Decomposition Analysis for Pakistan," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(4), pages 811-824, August.
    11. Frauke Dobnik, 2011. "OLong-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 0237, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    12. Samih Antoine Azar & Fadi Asrawi & Emad Gharzuddine, 2017. "Economic Integration in the Six Middle Eastern Gulf Countries: A Look from the Perspective of Money Demand," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(3), pages 189-218, December.
    13. Masudul Hasan Adil & Neeraj Hatekar & Pravakar Sahoo, 2020. "The Impact of Financial Innovation on the Money Demand Function: An Empirical Verification in India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 14(1), pages 28-61, February.
    14. Aggarwal, Sakshi, 2017. "Determinants of Money Demand for India in Presence of Structural Break: An Empirical Analysis," MPRA Paper 76967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Lee-Chea Hiew & Chin-Hong Puah & Mohammad Affendy Arip & Mei-Teing Chong, 2019. "Role of Advertising Expenditure as an Influential Non-traditional Regressor in Russia¡¯s Money Demand Specification," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(6), pages 232-240, October.
    16. Mr. Andrew Berg & Ms. Filiz D Unsal & Mr. Rafael A Portillo, 2010. "On the Optimal Adherence to Money Targets in a New-Keynesian Framework: An Application to Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2010/134, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Nicholas Apergis, 2015. "Long-run estimates of money demand: new evidence from East Asian countries and the presence of structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(31), pages 3276-3291, July.
    18. Jiranyakul, Komain & Opiela, Timothy, 2014. "An Empirical Test of Money Demand in Thailand from 1993 to 2012," MPRA Paper 54162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Agya Atabani Adi & Joshua Sunday Riti, 2017. "Determination of Long and Short Run Demand for Money in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) Countries: A Panel Analysis," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 2(2), pages 79-97, December.
    20. Sambulo Malumisa, 2015. "Structural Breaks, Stability and Demand for Money in South Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(5), pages 79-90.
    21. Dobnik, Frauke, 2011. "Long-run Money Demand in OECD Countries – Cross-Member Cointegration," Ruhr Economic Papers 237, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    22. repec:zbw:rwirep:0237 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Payam MOHAMMAD ALIHA & Tamat SARMIDI & Abu Hassan SHAAR & Fathin FAIZAH SAID, 2017. "Using Ardl Approach To Cointehration For Investigating The Relationship Between Payment Technologies And Money Demand On A World Scale," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 29-37, December.
    24. John Bosco Nnyanzi, 2018. "The Interaction Effect of Financial Innovation and the Transmission Channels on Money Demand in Uganda," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(12), pages 1-1, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; DOLS; Money; Money demand; Monetary policy; India; 共和分分析; 動的最小二乗法; 通貨; 貨幣需要; 金融政策; インド;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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