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Real exchange rates and competitiveness in Central and Eastern Europe: have they fundamentally changed?

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Carlos Cuestas

    (Department of Economics, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain)

  • Mercedes Monfort

    (Department of Economics, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain)

  • Javier Ordoñez

    (Department of Economics, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain)

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the evolution of the RER and its main fundamentals for a group of Central and Eastern European countries. We focus particularly on the possibility of structural breaks in the relationship. We find clear evidence of breaks, mainly caused by the great recession. We find that a combination of both supply-side and demand-side effects are behind the variations in the real exchange rate, and overall, capital inflows have contributed to improve competitiveness in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Cuestas & Mercedes Monfort & Javier Ordoñez, 2019. "Real exchange rates and competitiveness in Central and Eastern Europe: have they fundamentally changed?," Working Papers 2019/12, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    • Handle: RePEc:jau:wpaper:2019/12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Gianluca Benigno & Christoph Thoenissen, 2003. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates and Supply-Side Performance," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(486), pages 103-124, March.
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    7. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2009. "Purchasing power parity in Central and Eastern European countries: an analysis of unit roots and nonlinearities," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 87-94.
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    12. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Estefanía Mourelle & Paulo José Regis, 2020. "Real exchange rate misalignments in CEECs: Have they hindered growth?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(4), pages 733-756, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor Shevchuk & Roman Kopych, 2021. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Currency Misalignment, and Risk of Recession in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, May.
    2. Bošnjak Mile & Kordić Gordana & Novak Ivan, 2021. "Real Effective Exchange Rate and Industrial Productivity in Croatia: Wavelet Coherence Analysis," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 30-37, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real exchange rates; Central and Eastern Europe; structural breaks; European integration.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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