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From Riches to Rags, and Back? Institutional Change, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Argentina since the 1890s

Author

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  • Campos, Nauro F.

    (University College London)

  • Karanasos, Menelaos G.

    (Brunel University)

  • Tan, Bin

    (Southwest Jiaotong University)

Abstract

Argentina is the only country in the world that was "developed" in 1900 and "developing" in 2000. The various competing explanations highlight, mainly, the roles of trade openness, political institutions, financial integration, financial development, and macroeconomic instability. Yet no study has, to the best of our knowledge, attempted a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of each of these competing explanations. This paper tries to fill this gap. It investigates their individual effects on economic growth and volatility using the power-ARCH framework with annual data since the 1890s. The results indicate that financial development and institutional change are the two main factors that help understand the extraordinary growth trajectory of Argentina over the last century.

Suggested Citation

  • Campos, Nauro F. & Karanasos, Menelaos G. & Tan, Bin, 2014. "From Riches to Rags, and Back? Institutional Change, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Argentina since the 1890s," IZA Discussion Papers 8654, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp8654
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    Cited by:

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    2. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2018. "What is extracted from earth is gold: are rare earths telling a new tale to economic growth?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(1), pages 177-192, January.
    3. Iwasaki, Ichiro, 2022. "The finance-growth nexus in Latin America and the Caribbean: A meta-analytic perspective," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Irfan Ullah Munir & Shen Yue & Abdelmohsen A. Nassani & Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi Abro & Shabir Hyder & Khalid Zaman, 2021. "Structural changes, financial and business regulatory measures, energy and tourism demand: Evidence from group of seven countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2198-2218, April.
    5. Ichiro Iwasaki & Shigeki Ono, 2024. "Economic development and the finance–growth nexus: a meta-analytic approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(57), pages 8021-8038, December.
    6. Zhou, Jing, 2023. "A double-edged sword: Chinese direct investment in Latin America," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 234-249.
    7. Apergis, Nicholas & Poufinas, Thomas, 2020. "The role of insurance growth in economic growth: Fresh evidence from a panel of OECD countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Nauro F. Campos & Menelaos G. Karanasos & Michail Karoglou & Panagiotis Koutroumpis & Constantin Zopounidis & Apostolos Christopoulos, 2022. "Apocalypse now, apocalypse when? Economic growth and structural breaks in Argentina (1886–2003)," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 3-32, January.
    9. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2019. "“Sakura” has not grown in a day: infrastructure investment and economic growth in Japan under different tax regimes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 541-567, August.
    10. Sanfilippo-Azofra, Sergio & Torre-Olmo, Begoña & Cantero-Saiz, María & López-Gutiérrez, Carlos, 2018. "Financial development and the bank lending channel in developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 215-234.
    11. IWASAKI, Ichiro & ONO, Shigeki, 2023. "Economic Development and the Finance-Growth Nexus : A Meta-Analytic Approach," CEI Working Paper Series 2023-06, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    institutions; volatility; financial development; economic growth; political instability; power-GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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