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Assessing the Impact of the Maternity Capital Policy in Russia Using a Dynamic Model of Fertility and Employment

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  • Slonimczyk, Fabian

    (NRU HSE, Moscow)

  • Yurko, Anna

    (NRU HSE)

Abstract

With declining population and fertility rates below replacement levels, Russia is currently facing a demographic crisis. Starting in 2007, the federal government has pursued an ambitious pro-natalist policy. Women who give birth to at least two children are entitled to "maternity capital" assistance ($11,000). In this paper we estimate a structural dynamic programming model of fertility and labor force participation in order to evaluate the effectiveness of the policy. We find that the program increased long-run fertility by about 0.15 children per woman.

Suggested Citation

  • Slonimczyk, Fabian & Yurko, Anna, 2013. "Assessing the Impact of the Maternity Capital Policy in Russia Using a Dynamic Model of Fertility and Employment," IZA Discussion Papers 7705, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp7705
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    Cited by:

    1. Natalya Y. Shelkova, 2020. "Stronger women, better men? Family bargaining and public policy in contemporary Russia," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 335-355, June.
    2. Nikolai Botev, 2015. "Could Pronatalist Policies Discourage Childbearing?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 41(2), pages 301-314, June.
    3. Svetlana Biryukova & Oxana Sinyavskaya & Irina Nurimanova, 2016. "Estimating effects of 2007 family policy changes on probability of second and subsequent births in Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 68/SOC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    4. Yelena I. Andreeva & Dmitry G. Bychkov & Olesya A. Feoktistova, 2018. "Introducing New Family Support Benefits in Russia: an Estimate of Public Expenditures," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 2, pages 36-46, April.
    5. Gordey Yastrebov, 2016. "Intergenerational Social Mobility in Soviet and Post-Soviet Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 69/SOC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    6. Dormidontova, Yulia (Дормидонтова, Юлия) & Kazakova, Yuliya (Казакова, Юлия) & Lyashok, Victor (Ляшок, Виктор) & Grishina, E. (Гришина, Е.) & Tsatsura, Elena (Цацура, Елена), 2016. "Analysis of the Effectiveness of Social Support for Families with Children in Russia: The Example of the Altai Territory and Samara Region [Анализ Эффективности Социальной Поддержки Семей С Детьми ," Working Papers 3134, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    7. Slonimczyk, Fabián & Yurko, Anna, 2014. "Assessing the impact of the maternity capital policy in Russia," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 265-281.
    8. Slonimczyk, Fabian & Gimpelson, Vladimir, 2013. "Informality and Mobility: Evidence from Russian Panel Data," IZA Discussion Papers 7703, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia; female labor supply; fertility; structural estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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