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Impacts of Economic Reform in Poland: Incidence and Welfare Changes Within a Consistent Framework

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  • Huffman, Sonya K.
  • Johnson, Stanley R.

Abstract

The costs of shortages and rationing are not captured by standard consumer price indices. Thus the change in real GDP per capita is an over estimate of welfare losses in transition economies. In this study virtual prices are used to calculate new cost of living indices (CLI). The results for Poland show that over 1987 to 1992 the CLI ignoring the rationing effects is biased upward from 1.53 to 3.71 percentage points per year. Compared to the estimates of welfare loss that neglect the rationing effects during the prereform period, the estimated welfare losses that reflect the rationing are reduced by 50 percent using Hausmanï¾’s virtual prices and by 75 percent using external proxy virtual prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Huffman, Sonya K. & Johnson, Stanley R., 2004. "Impacts of Economic Reform in Poland: Incidence and Welfare Changes Within a Consistent Framework," Staff General Research Papers Archive 11158, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:11158
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barten, A. P., 1969. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a complete system of demand equations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 7-73.
    2. Maxim Boycko, 1992. "When Higher Incomes Reduce Welfare: Queues, Labor Supply, and Macro Equilibrium in Socialist Economies," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 907-920.
    3. Kevin M. Murphy & Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 1992. "The Transition to a Market Economy: Pitfalls of Partial Reform," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 889-906.
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    5. James Banks & Richard Blundell & Arthur Lewbel, 1997. "Quadratic Engel Curves And Consumer Demand," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(4), pages 527-539, November.
    6. Mundlak, Yair & Larson, Donald F, 1992. "On the Transmission of World Agricultural Prices," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 6(3), pages 399-422, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Blanchard & Michael Kremer, 1997. "Disorganization," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(4), pages 1091-1126.
    2. Fleissig, Adrian R. & Whitney, Gerald, 2011. "A revealed preference test of rationing," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 234-236.
    3. Adrian R. Fleissig & Gerald A. Whitney, 2014. "Estimating demand elasticities under rationing," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 432-440, February.
    4. Guo, Zizhen, 2015. "Labor supply and expenditures: econometric estimation from Chinese household data," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005388, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Huffman, Sonya Kostova & Johnson, Stanley R., 2004. "Empirical tests of impacts of rationing: the case of Poland in transition," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 79-99, March.
    6. Huffman, Sonya K. & Rizov, Marian, 2007. "Determinants of obesity in transition economies: The case of Russia," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 379-391, December.
    7. Kym Anderson & Johan Swinnen, 2008. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Europe's Transition Economies," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6502, December.
    8. Huffman, Wallace E., 2006. "The Story Behind the Post-War Decline in Women's Housework: Prices, Income, Family Size, and Technology Effects in a Demand System," Working Papers 18228, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Fleissig, Adrian R. & Whitney, Gerald A., 2015. "Belgium relief fund, post war food shortages and the “True” cost of living," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 93-106.
    10. Huffman, Sonya Kostova & Rizov, Marian, 2008. "The rise of obesity in transition economies: theory and evidence from Russian longitudinal monitoring survey," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6556, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Lerman, Zvi & Kislev, Yoav & Kriss, Alon & Biton, David, 2001. "Agricultural Output And Productivity In The Former Soviet Republics," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20471, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Fleissig, Adrian R. & Whitney, Gerald, 2013. "Virtual prices and the impact of house rationing in Belgium on consumer choices," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 308-315.
    13. Ciaian, Pavel & Swinnen, Johan F.M., 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Central and Eastern Europe," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper Series 48385, World Bank.
    14. Huffman, Sonya K. & Ishdorj, Ariun & Jensen, Helen H., 2005. "Consumer Choices and Welfare Gains from New, Healthy Products: A Virtual Prices Approach," ISU General Staff Papers 200501010800001012, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. Taniguchi, Kiyoshi, 2001. "A General Equilibrium Analysis Of Japanese Rice Market Trade Liberalization," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20660, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
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