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Real Sector and Banking System: Real and Feedback Effects. A Non-Linear VAR Approach

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  • Stefano Puddu

Abstract

This paper assesses the relationship between the macroeconomic system and the banking sector by estimating two separate non-linear Vector Autoregressive models (VAR) for the US and Switzerland. The model specification includes the output gap, the interest rate, the in ation rate and a banking quality measure. Impulse response functions are estimated by using the local projections approach. The results highlight the existence of the real effect (going from the macroeconomic system to the banking sector), and of the feedback effect (going from the the banking sector to macroeconomic system). The findings are robust to the sample period, the size of the shocks as well as to the Cholesky decomposition employed.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Puddu, 2013. "Real Sector and Banking System: Real and Feedback Effects. A Non-Linear VAR Approach," IRENE Working Papers 13-01, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:irn:wpaper:13-01
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    2. Abildgren, Kim, 2012. "Business cycles, monetary transmission and shocks to financial stability: empirical evidence from a new set of Danish quarterly national accounts 1948-2010," Working Paper Series 1458, European Central Bank.
    3. Alawin, M. & Al-Muhaissen, T. & Merza, E., 2013. "The Relationship between Real and Banking Sectors in Jordan," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 13(2), pages 129-134.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Stability; Non-Linear VAR; Local Projections Methods;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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