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Does energy consumption fuel economic growth in India?

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  • Hrushikesh Mallick

    (Centre for Development Studies
    Institute of Economic Growth)

Abstract

The paper examines whether energy use drives economic growth or vice versa in the Indian context during the period 1970-71 to 2004-05. Utilizing the Granger causality test, the study suggests that it is the economic growth that fuels more demand for both crude oil and electricity consumption and it is the only growth of coal consumption that drives economic growth. When influence of different components of energy on major two components of economic growth is investigated with the same causality test, none of the energy components found to be significantly influencing the two components of economic growth viz. private consumption and private investment. In contrast, the out of sample forecasts in the variance decomposition analysis of Vector Autoregression (VAR) suggests that there could be a bi-directional influence between electricity consumption and economic growth, other results remaining unchanged. Therefore, the study yields mixed and contradictory result as compared to the previous studies in the Indian context. However, on the basis of application of two econometric tools, the study with little more conviction could suggest for reducing crude oil and natural gas consumption at least in the consumption sectors which don't directly contribute to production or add to the capital formation of the economy, for achieving higher rate of growth in the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Hrushikesh Mallick, 2007. "Does energy consumption fuel economic growth in India?," Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum Working Papers 388, Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum, India.
  • Handle: RePEc:ind:cdswpp:388
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    Cited by:

    1. Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2010. "Coal consumption and economic growth revisited," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 160-167, January.
    2. K.J Joseph & Vinoj Abraham, 2007. "Information technology and productivity: Evidence from India's manufacturing sector," Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum Working Papers 389, Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum, India.
    3. Pulapre Balakrishnan, 2007. "Visible hand: Public policy and economic growth in the Nehru era," Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum Working Papers 391, Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum, India.
    4. Duan, Wenqi & Khurshid, Adnan & Nazir, Naila & Khan, Khalid & Calin, Adrian Cantemir, 2022. "From gray to green: Energy crises and the role of CPEC," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 188-207.
    5. Muhammad Imran Khan & Muhammad Waqas, 2014. "Dynamic Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(1), pages 31-42.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy Consumption; Economic Growth; Granger Causality; VAR & India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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