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Auf Messers Schneide - Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 2013

Author

Listed:
  • Gustav A. Horn

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Alexander Herzog-Stein

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Peter Hohlfeld

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Fabian Lindner

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Ansgar Rannenberg

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Katja Rietzler

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Silke Tober

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Sabine Stephan

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Andrew Watt

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Rudolf Zwiener

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

Abstract

Die Konjunktur in Deutschland befindet sich in einem Spannungsfeld zwischen dem Sog nach unten aus den Krisenländern und einem stabilen weltwirtschaftlichen Umfeld. Das weltwirtschaftliche Umfeld außerhalb des Euroraums stellt sich im Prognosezeitraum als relativ stabil dar. Dagegen verharrt der Euroraum weiterhin in der Rezession. In Deutschland ist für den Prognosezeitraum mit einem insgesamt verhaltenen Produktionsanstieg zu rechnen. Im Jahresdurchschnitt 2012 steigt das Bruttoinlandsprodukt um 0,7 % und im Jahr 2013 um 0,8 %. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird 2013 im Jahresdurchschnitt bei 7,0 %, nach 6,8 % im Jahr 2012. Der Anstieg der Verbraucherpreise wird im kommenden Jahr 1,7 % betragen, nach 2,1 % in diesem Jahr.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustav A. Horn & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Fabian Lindner & Ansgar Rannenberg & Katja Rietzler & Silke Tober & Sabine Stephan & Andrew Watt & Rudolf Zwiener, 2012. "Auf Messers Schneide - Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 2013," IMK Report 78-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:imk:report:78-2012
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ulrike Stein & Sabine Stephan & Rudolf Zwiener, 2012. "Zu schwache deutsche Arbeitskostenentwicklung belastet Europäische Währungsunion und soziale Sicherung," IMK Report 77-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
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