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Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

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  • Tatiana Didier
  • Sebastian Herrador
  • Magali Pinat

Abstract

This paper assesses whether cross-border M&A decisions exhibit network effects. We estimate exponential random graph models (ERGM) and temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) to evaluate the determinants of cross-country M&A investments at the sectoral level. The results show that transitivity matters: a country is more likely to invest in a new destination if one of its existing partners has already made some investments there. In line with the literature on export platforms and informational barriers, we find a sizable impact of third country effects on the creation of new investments. This effect is sizable and larger than some of the more traditional M&A determinants, such as trade openness.

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana Didier & Sebastian Herrador & Magali Pinat, 2019. "Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions," IMF Working Papers 2019/264, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/264
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