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Global and Regional Spillovers to GCC Equity Markets

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  • Tahsin Saadi Sedik
  • Mr. Oral Williams

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of global and regional spillovers to GCC equity markets. GCC equity markets were impacted by spillovers from U.S. equity markets despite varying degrees of foreign participation. Spillovers from regional equity markets were also important but the magnitude of the effects were on average smaller than that from mature markets. The results also illustrated episodes of contagion in particular during the recent global financial crisis. The findings suggest that given the degree of openness, and open capital accounts the financial channel is an important source through which volatility is transmitted. In this regard, GCC equity markets are not immune from global and regional financial shocks. These findings refute the notion of decoupling between the GCC equity and global equity markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Tahsin Saadi Sedik & Mr. Oral Williams, 2011. "Global and Regional Spillovers to GCC Equity Markets," IMF Working Papers 2011/138, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/138
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    2. Naseem Al Rahahleh & Robert Kao, 2018. "Forecasting Volatility: Evidence from the Saudi Stock Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, November.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "United Arab Emirates: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2012/136, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Mr. Olumuyiwa S Adedeji & Mr. Sohaib Shahid & Ling Zhu, 2018. "Saudi’s Growth and Financial Spillovers to Other GCC Countries: An Empirical Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2018/278, International Monetary Fund.
    5. McMillan, David G. & Ziadat, Salem Adel & Herbst, Patrick, 2021. "The role of oil as a determinant of stock market interdependence: The case of the USA and GCC," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    6. Sami Al Kharusi & Robert O. Weagley, 2014. "Weak Form Market Efficiency During the 2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Muscat Securities Market," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(4), pages 27-42.
    7. Alanoud Al‐Maadid & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2021. "Political tension and stock markets in the Arabian Peninsula," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 679-683, January.
    8. Dina Gabbori & Nader Virk & Nadeem Aftab & Basel Awartani, 2024. "The impact of Islamic events on herding behaviour in Saudi Arabian equities market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 119-134, January.
    9. Tessema, Abiot, 2019. "The impact of corporate governance and political connections on information asymmetry: International evidence from banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council member countries," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-17.
    10. Aloui, Chaker & Hkiri, Besma, 2014. "Co-movements of GCC emerging stock markets: New evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 421-431.
    11. Alotaibi, Abdullah R. & Mishra, Anil V., 2015. "Global and regional volatility spillovers to GCC stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 38-49.
    12. Hertog, Steffen, 2013. "The private sector and reform in the Gulf Cooperation Council," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 54398, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Naifar, Nader & Al Dohaiman, Mohammed Saleh, 2013. "Nonlinear analysis among crude oil prices, stock markets' return and macroeconomic variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 416-431.
    14. Köksal, Bülent & Orhan, Mehmet, 2012. "Market risk of developed and developing countries during the global financial crisis," MPRA Paper 37523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Ziadat, Salem Adel & Herbst, Patrick & McMillan, David G., 2020. "Inter- and intra-regional stock market relations for the GCC bloc," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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