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Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region: What to Expect? What Can Be Done?

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Ralph Chami
  • Mr. Raphael A Espinoza
  • Mr. Adolfo Barajas
  • Mr. Heiko Hesse

Abstract

This paper examines the recent credit slowdown among Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries from three analytical angles. First, it finds that, similar to other regions and to its past history, a credit boom preceded the current slowdown, and that a protracted period of sluggish growth is likely going forward. Second, it uncovers a key role played by bank funding (deposit growth and external borrowing slowed considerably) but whose effect was frequently dampened by expansionary monetary policy. Third, bank-level fundamentals - capitalization and loan quality - helped to explain differences in credit growth across banks and countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Ralph Chami & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Mr. Heiko Hesse, 2010. "Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region: What to Expect? What Can Be Done?," IMF Working Papers 2010/219, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/219
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. Adolfo Barajas & Roberto Steiner, 2002. "Why Don't They Lend? Credit Stagnation in Latin America," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(Special i), pages 156-184.
    6. Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2010. "Credit Conditions and Recoveries from Recessions Associated with Financial Crises," IMF Working Papers 2010/083, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

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    7. Mr. Selim A Elekdag & Mr. Yiqun Wu, 2011. "Rapid Credit Growth: Boon or Boom-Bust?," IMF Working Papers 2011/241, International Monetary Fund.
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    12. Liliana Rojas-Suarez and Carlos Montoro, 2012. "Credit at Times of Stress: Latin American Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis - Working Paper 289," Working Papers 289, Center for Global Development.
    13. Corinne Deléchat & Camila Henao & Priscilla Muthoora & Svetlana Vtyurina, 2014. "The Determinants of Banks' Liquidity Buffers in Central America," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 83-129, January-J.
    14. Mr. Simon T Gray & Mr. Philippe D Karam & Ms. Rima A Turk, 2014. "Are Banks Really Lazy? Evidence from Middle East and North Africa," IMF Working Papers 2014/086, International Monetary Fund.
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    17. Carlos Montoro & Liliana Rojas-Suarez, 2015. "Credit in Times of Stress: Lessons from Latin America during the Global Financial Crisis," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 309-327, May.
    18. Vahram Stepanyan & Kai Guo, 2011. "Determinants of Bank Credit in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 2011/051, International Monetary Fund.
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