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China’s Economic Growth: International Spillovers

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  • Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis
  • Mr. Vivek B. Arora

Abstract

This paper presents some facts on China’s role in the world economy and measures the impact of China’s growth on growth in the rest of the world in the short and long term. Short-run estimates based on VARs and error-correction models suggest that spillover effects of China’s growth have increased in recent decades. Long-term spillover effects, estimated through growth regressions based on panel data, are also significant and have extended in recent decades beyond Asia. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis & Mr. Vivek B. Arora, 2010. "China’s Economic Growth: International Spillovers," IMF Working Papers 2010/165, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/165
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. -, 2009. "United States economic outlook," Oficina de la CEPAL en Washington (Estudios e Investigaciones) 28869, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    2. -, 2009. "United States economic outlook," Oficina de la CEPAL en Washington (Estudios e Investigaciones) 28870, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
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    Cited by:

    1. Almansour, Aseel & Aslam, Aqib & Bluedorn, John & Duttagupta, Rupa, 2015. "How vulnerable are emerging markets to external shocks?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 460-483.
    2. David Harvey, 2011. "Roepke Lecture in Economic Geography—Crises, Geographic Disruptions and the Uneven Development of Political Responses," Economic Geography, Clark University, vol. 87(1), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Giorgia Giovannetti & Marco Sanfilippo & Margherita Velucchi, 2011. "The “China effect” on EU Exports to OECD markets – A focus on Italy," Working Papers - Economics wp2011_17.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    4. Lauren A. Johnston & Stephen L. Morgan & Yuesheng Wang, 2015. "The Gravity of China's African Export Promise," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 913-934, June.

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    Keywords

    WP; China; trade; estimate;
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